Georgia Tech (-13 ½) at Kansas: Georgia Tech is 10-22 ATS when they allow 5.5 or more yards per play since 1992. But the Jayhawks are not good at home, going 0-6 the past three years when allowing 28 or more points.
Iowa State at Iowa (-10): Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz is 0-6 ATS at home against Big 12 opponents. Iowa is 1-1 ATS against Iowa State the past three seasons and both games have gone under the total.
Colorado at California (-10): When handicapping this game, evaluating the Buffalo’s defense will be the key. Cal is 10-1 ATS the past three seasons if they score 28 points.
Miami, Fla. at Ohio State (-10): If Ohio State can get the running game going, the trend fares well for the Buckeyes. Over the past three years, they are 8-1 ATS when rushing for more than 200 yards. In that case, the Buckeye average 33.9 points a game. And if their defense holds their opponents, to under 300 yards, they have gone 36-14 ATS.
Oregon (-12) at Tennessee: The key for Oregon is their rushing attack. The Ducks, over the past three seasons, are 11-2 ATS and average 49 points a game when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt. And, if they can score at least 28 points, their ATS record jumps to 10-1 over the same time period.
Colorado State at Nevada (-23 1/2): These teams have played once in the past three years, with Colorado State winning 35-20. Nevada is 0-6 ATS the first month of the season the past three seasons.
Texas Tech (-24) at New Mexico: These teams played once in past three years with a similar situation. Texas Tech was a heavy favorite, but failed to cover, winning 48-28.
Penn State at Alabama (-12): In the underdog role, the under fares well for Penn State. As a double-digit underdog, the under has gone 11-1 for the Nittany Lions. And the under has gone 11-1 for Alabama the past three years as a double-digit favorite.
Virginia at Southern Cal (-19 1/2): These teams played in 2008, with Southern Cal winning, 52-7. For Virginia, the over has gone 6-0 in non-conference games over the past three seasons.
LSU (-10) at Vanderbilt: LSU is 5-0 straight up against Vanderbilt, but have gone 2-2 ATS. They have played only once in the past three seasons, with LSU winning, 23-9. Les Miles is 11-26 ATS against conference opponents. The over fares well for LSU as Miles has gone over 12-4 as a road favorite.
San Jose State at Wisconsin (-38 1/2): They have played once before, with Wisconsin winning and covering, 56-10
Toledo at Ohio (-9 1/2): Toledo is 4-14 ATS when allowing 28 or more points the past three seasons and 1-13 it rushes for less than 150 yards. Since 1992, Toledo is 80-9 straight up against Ohio, but is only 2-2 ATS. The last time they played each other was 2007, with Toledo winning 43-40.
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