College Football Betting: Separating Fact and Fiction From Week 1 Results

While Brian Kelly's tenure started out with a win, early college football betting action suggests Michigan represents a much bigger test for the Irish
It’s easy to have a knee-jerk reaction to the opening weekend of college football.  Sit back, take a breath and, look over what happened.  When the smoke clears, it will be easy to separate the fact from fiction in Week 1.

FACT: Ohio State is as good as billed. They would have beaten Marshall 45-7 or worse nine out of 10 times they play.
Buckeye quarterback Terrelle Pryor is showing he may be only getting better, going 17 of 25 for 247 yards and three touchdowns.

“Every game is about maturity,” said Pryor in a published report. “It’s 12 weeks in a [season]. Let’s see what happens next. I’m excited to play Miami.”

FICTION: The Miami Hurricanes defense shut down Florida A&M 45-0. The sports books do not believe in Miami as Ohio State was made a 10-point favorite. Their no-huddle offense may be more smoke and mirrors when it comes to playing the big boys.

FACT: Southern Cal can score some points. Quarterback Matt Barkley threw five touchdowns and has a ton of weapons at his disposal as Southern Cal beat Hawaii, 49-36.

FICTION: Southern Cal’s defense can’t stop anybody. Their defensive backs looked slow as Hawaii kept the game close as the Trojans allowed 588 net yards to Hawaii.

“We ended up winning the game, which was good, but obviously as you can see, we’ve got some depth concerns and issues,” first-year coach Lane Kiffin said in a report. “We’re got a lot of work to do, which was obvious.”

Southern Cal faces Virginia this week. It may take a few weeks for the books to catch up with USC, but the over is always something to look for with this squad.

FACT: New Mexico is that bad. What the Lobos did Saturday was an embarrassment to the Mountain West Conference, college football and sports in general. Oregon posted 59 points in the first half and, if they didn’t call off the dogs, could have posted more than 100 points.

FACT: Is that Oklahoma State that good or Washington State that bad after the Cowboys’ 65-17 win. Hmmmm. The fact here is that Washington State is THAT BAD. Washington State, which has gone 3-22 the past two seasons, look not to improve on that mark this season.

Oklahoma State will post some bigger offensive numbers this season, but look for reality to set in when they start facing Big 12 competition. That might not be for a while as the Cowboys face Troy this week and have already been bet up from the opening college football line of -7.5 to -12.

FICTION: The UNLV offense posted 21 points and got the back-door cover or push depending on what number you took from Wisconsin, but that was the shakiest 21 points scored. Two turnovers accounted for 14 points and the third touchdown came late as the game was decided. Wisconsin’s offense, especially, the ground game, dominated the Rebels. If the Badgers didn’t pass the ball, UNLV may have only one score. Facing Utah this week, UNLV opened a 22-point road dog. Bow wow wow.

FICTION: Notre Dame is better, but the Irish are not all the way back yet. Their 23-12 victory over a down Purdue team should be looked at with some skepticism. Notre Dame, which is currently a four-point favorite over Michigan and has already been bet down from the opener of -6, faces a tougher challenge to stop the Wolverines.

FACT: Michigan may be getting their offensive mojo back as they have found a quarterback in Denard Robinson. He ran for one score and threw for another. The Wolverines posted 473 net yards on offense.

Maddux Sports has started off the college football season with a 6-2 mark for premium members stuffing their wallet along the way.  If you are betting on college football games this year consider following along with our college football betting picks package.

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  1. Yes – Southern Cal are better than a lot of people seem to think. And with Matt Barkley being in form we’ll be difficult to beat.

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