College Basketball Predictions: Miami Hurricanes vs. UCF Knights

Miami Hurricanes at UCF Knights
Tuesday, 12/18/12, 8:00 PM EST, TV:  CBS Sports Network
Opening Point Spread:  Miami -4
Current Betting Line:  Miami -5
Opening Total:  131.5
Current Total:  135.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Miami Hurricanes are 1-3 ATS in their last four games against Conference USA opponents

Miami has won five games in a row, including a 77-46 blowout victory over Charlotte as 7.5-point home favorites.  The Hurricanes will hit the road for their next four games, which is why you need to consider their 12-9 ATS record on the road since 2010 when looking over the college basketball odds page.  The program is 6-1 all-time in this series, including a 2-0 mark on the road, as the only setback came at the Orange Bowl Classic in 2010.  Miami is 11-5 ATS following a straight-up win of 20 or more points.

The Hurricanes have been getting tremendous production out of sophomore Shane Larkin, who is averaging 15.3 points through six games, which is nearly double his 8.3 mark from a year ago.  Durant Scott is also a player to watch on the offensive end due to scoring at least 15 points in four games, while tallying his first double-double of the 2012-13 college basketball season last time out.  One of the team’s early weaknesses was shooting 62.5 percent from the free throw line in the first three contests, but it has knocked down 77.3 percent of its shots from the charity stripe since.

UCF has won three consecutive games since suffering a two-game losing streak, as it comes off a 75-71 victory over the Old Dominion Monarchs as six-point favorites, which served as the team’s second road game of the year.  The Knights lead the nation in shooting 44.1 percent from 3-point range this season, as they prepare to welcome in their first ACC foe to the UCF Arena since the facility opened in 2007.  UCF is 2-0 ATS as an underdog this year, which is important to note when making your college basketball picks against the spread.

The Knights had four players finish with double figures in scoring last time out, while shooting 54.5 percent from the field overall.  Both of UCF’s losses this year have come to strong opponents, including a 79-66 setback to the Florida Gators on Nov. 23.  Offensively, the team is definitely moving the ball around with more success than a year ago, averaging 15.4 assists per game.

Sports bettors will likely back the Knights due to their 7-3 ATS mark at home with a total of 130 to 134.5, while the Hurricanes are 1-3 ATS against Conference USA opponents.

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