College Basketball Predictions: Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns

No. 10 Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns
Monday, 2/20/12, 9:00 PM EST, TV:  ESPN
Opening Point Spread:  Texas -2.5
Current Betting Line:  Texas -2
Opening Total:  138
Current Total:  137
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Texas Longhorns have dominated opponents at home when playing on ESPN's Big Monday

Baylor will look to bounce back from a disappointing 57-56 loss to the Kansas State Wildcats as 7.5-point home favorites, while going “under” the total in five of its last six games.  “Eighteen turnovers is by far too many and that really hurt us,” commented Bears head coach Scott Drew.  The Bears will be attempting to sweep the Longhorns for the second time in the last three seasons Monday night, capturing a 76-71 win as seven-point home favorites on Jan. 28.  Baylor is 4-4 ATS on the road this season.

The Bears are 1-5 all-time when playing in ESPN Big Monday contests, including an 0-5 mark in the Drew era.  Baylor continues to be led by sophomore forward Perry Jones III on the offensive end, averaging 13.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game on 51.7 percent shooting.  These two teams will meet for the second time on the ESPN Big Monday stage, with the Bears dropping a 73-57 road games against the Longhorns in 2009.  The program is 10-2 away from home this season.

Texas had its four-game win streak snapped in a listless 90-78 defeat to the Oklahoma State Cowboys as four-point road favorites, while going “over” the total for the fourth time in five games.  The Longhorns have tallied an impressive 26-5 mark against the Bears during the Rick Barnes era, including a dominating 12-1 record when playing in Austin.  Junior guard J’Covan Brown has been the star of the show offensively, averaging 19.7 points per game.  Texas is 4-12 ATS as a favorite and the “over” is 9-7 in those contests.

The Longhorns have always dominated in-state opponents since Barnes arrived on campus, posting a 119-16 record in those games.  Texas has also managed to register a dominating 93-18 mark at home in Big 12 Conference games under his direction.  Playing on ESPN’s Big Monday has provided quite an advantage at home for the program, posting a 15-5 mark in those affairs.  The team has really seemed to catch its stride of late, which isn’t surprising due to having six of its top nine players being freshman.

Bettors will likely back the Bears due to their 5-2 ATS mark in the last seven meetings, while the Longhorns are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.

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