College Basketball Picks: Louisville Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Louisville Cardinals vs. Kentucky Wildcats
Saturday, 12/28/13, 4:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Louisville -1.5
Current Betting Line:  Louisville -3
Opening Total:  N/A
Current Total:  N/A
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Louisville Cardinals are 15-8 SUATS on the road the last two-plus seasons
The Louisville Cardinals are 15-8 SUATS on the road the last two-plus seasons

Louisville has won six games in a row, including an 85-56 victory over the Florida International Golden Panthers as 20.5-point road favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total for the fourth consecutive contest.  The Cardinals lead the nation in turnover margin, which is important to consider when making your college basketball betting picks, as they generate an average of 23 points per game off turnovers.  The team has three probable starters averaging in double figures, with senior guard Russ Smith leading the way at 16.8 points a contest.  Louisville is 15-8 SUATS on the road the last two-plus seasons.

The Cardinals have started with at least an 11-1 record in six of coach Rick Pitino’s 13 seasons on campus, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college basketball odds page.  Louisville has made nine or more three-point shots in seven games this season, including a 13-of-24 performance last time out.  Over its first 12 games, the program has produced 32 runs of 8-0 or better.  The team has compiled a dominating 24-4 SU record in December since the 2010-11 campaign.

Kentucky has alternated wins and losses over its last five games, as it comes off a 93-80 victory over the Belmont Bruins as 17-point home favorites last time out, while going OVER the betting total in a second consecutive contest.  The Wildcats are 30-15 SU all-time against the Cardinals, including a 4-1 mark under the direction of John Calipari.  Freshman forward Julius Randle has scored in double figures in all 12 games this season.  Kentucky is 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS as underdogs the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 5-4 in that situation.

The Wildcats are shooting 50.6 percent from the field over the last five games, with six players shooting 40 percent or better.  Kentucky has won 158 of its last 183 games at Rupp Arena, including a 75-2 SU mark under Calipari.  The probable starting lineup has four freshmen and a sophomore, with four of them averaging in double figures.

Sports bettors will likely back the Wildcats due to the underdog going 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

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