The NBA Finals are here with a host of interesting prop bets to consider in Game 1. The Warriors have lost just three games en route to the Finals, riding the hot shooting hand of Stephen Curry who has averaged 4.9 threes per game. The Warriors hold a decisive edge in series odds, but what might LeBron James do in his quest to win his third NBA title?
LeBron James 28.5 Total Points (O -125; U -105)
UNDER. LeBron James is averaging 27.6 points per game, but the Golden State Warriors will have every chance to keep a fresh defender on him at all times during this series. Beyond that, James is relied upon heavily to grab rebounds and conduct the offense. His scoring numbers take a slight hit here, to the tune of 25-26 points in Game 1, which puts this under 28.5.
LeBron James 9 Total Rebounds (O -140; U +110)
OVER. James has averaged 10-plus rebounds in the postseason and the Cavs are going to be laughed out of this series if he doesn’t continue to hybridize himself as a power forward on the glass. Losing Love meant more rebounds for James, and this is a confident over at -140.
LeBron James 8 Total Assists (O -130; U EVEN)
This is one to shy away from. James averages 8.3 assists per game, and while the fast paced tempo of the game may abet him in going over eight assists in this contest, there’s no guarantee his Cavaliers teammates will make that possible for him against one of the toughest defenses in Golden State’s.
Kyrie Irving 18.5 Total Points (O -115; U -115)
UNDER. Kyrie Irving is going to simply exhaust himself trying to stay with Stephen Curry, and without going explosive with his shot count, he’s going to fall under in this game.
Kyrie Irving 4.5 Total Assists (O -115; U -115)
OVER. While Irving has averaged just 3.7 assists per game in the postseason, something seems indicative of him seeking to pass more, particularly in Game 1 as he works his way back on a gimpy knee. The knee is not 100 percent, and that affects both his scoring and passing. The difference is, the passing may take precedence over the shooting on a bum knee.
Stephen Curry 27.5 Total Points (O -135; U +105)
OVER. Curry is coming off two straight poor games against the Rockets in which he shot 14 of 39, but still averaged 24.5 points per game. The rest will have done him well. In the three games prior, he scored 34, 33 and 40 in Games 1 through 3. He’s the key to this offense and the Warriors are going to come out to make a statement game behind Curry’s assault. He goes for 30-plus in Game 1.
Stephen Curry 7 Total Assists (O -125; U -105)
UNDER. The assists haven’t really been there for Curry. He’s had seven assists in just one of his past five games, and he’s going to be looking to score. It seems most likely that Curry winds up with five dimes in this one.
Stephen Curry 4.5 made threes (O -105, U -125)
This is a tougher bet with the line increasing to 4.5. He’s averaged just that over the past two games, which were his toughest two games of the postseason. But now Curry is going to be preying on a gimpy Kyrie Irving and the Cavs are going to have no choice but to rotate Iman Shumpert onto him as much as possible. The Warriors will smell blood, and this has all the makings of an OVER.
Klay Thompson 20.5 Total Points (O -115; U -115)
Klay Thompson is going to feast on J.R. Smith. He’s also been playing good ball the last two games, having connected on 17 of 35 for a 22 point per game average. Thompson and Curry will work to dismantle the Cavs weaker backcourt and the scoring efforts will result in both going OVER.
Klay Thompson 3.5 Total Threes Made (O +150; U -180)
UNDER. While he hit 10 total threes in the last two games, in the three games prior he hit just 4 of 22 from behind the arc. Thompson will have a relatively big scoring night, but it might not all come via the three-point shot. Expect Thompson to attack the rim plenty, and he didn’t attempt a single free throw in Games 4 or 5 against the Houston Rockets. Changing that will stave the Cavs off from even getting close.