Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, 11/13/11, 1:00 PM EST, TV: CBS
Opening Point Spread: Kansas City -4
Current Betting Line: Kansas City -3
Opening Total: 42.5
Current Total: 41.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Denver is coming off an impressive 38-24 win over the Oakland Raiders as seven-point road underdogs, facing an AFC West opponent for the second consecutive week. “It’s crazy because if we were in the AFC North, none of this would be going on,” commented Broncos running back Willis McGahee, who use to play for the Baltimore Ravens. The former Miami Hurricanes star runner gained 163 of the team’s 299 rushing yards last week. Denver is 3-5 ATS on the year and the ‘over’ is 5-2 in those contests.
The Broncos have won two of their three games with quarterback Tim Tebow starting under center, as he finished with 124 passing yards and 118 rushing yards in last week’s win. Some around the NFL are wondering how long he will hold up due to running a different type of option attack, getting sacked 15 times and taking punishment on his 16 runs. Denver’s last road victory in this series came on Dec. 6, 2009, dropping a 10-6 decision in last year’s meeting as a nine-point underdog.
Kansas City really took a step back in dropping a 31-3 contest to the Miami Dolphins as four-point home favorites, snapping a four-game winning streak for the franchise. “you go out there and play your game, and sometimes that happens,” commented Chiefs quarterback Matt Cassel. Wide receiver Dwayne Bowe will need to step up if the team is going to win this game, as he caught 13 passes for 186 yards and two touchdowns in the first meeting last year, but was shut out in December at Arrowhead stadium when matching up with Broncos cornerback Champ Bailey. Kansas is 4-9 ATS as a favorite the last two-plus seasons, while the ‘over’ is 7-6 in those contests.
The Chiefs will need to get after Tebow in this contest, managing to tally just nine sacks through eight games, which is the worst mark in the NFL. Kansas City may have an opportunity to improve upon those numbers due to Denver allowing 24 sacks this season. Much of the focus this week has been getting out to a lead, as the Chiefs don’t want to get involved in a slugfest with an opponent that is averaging 147.5 rushing yards per game.
Bettors will likely back the Chiefs due to their 4-1 ATS mark after a loss of more than 14 points, while the Broncos are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games.
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