Big Ten Football Preview: Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
Saturday, 10/12/13, 5:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Michigan -1
Current Betting Line:  Michigan -3
Opening Total:  50
Current Total:  50
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Michigan Wolverines are 10-6 SU all-time against the Penn State Nittany Lions
The Michigan Wolverines are 10-6 SU all-time against the Penn State Nittany Lions

Michigan is off to a perfect 5-0 start to its 2013 season, which includes a 42-13 victory over the Minnesota Golden Gophers as 18.5-point home favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total of 50.5.  The Wolverines hold a 10-6 series advantage over the Nittany Lions, including a 5-3 mark when playing at Beaver Stadium, which is important to consider when making your college football predictions in Week 7.  Michigan is 2-0 SUATS as road favorites of three points or less over the last two-plus seasons.

The Wolverines are led offensively by the play of quarterback Devin Gardner, who threw for 235 yards and two touchdowns last week.  Michigan has made 38 trips to the red zone in its last 10 games with Gardner under center—scoring touchdowns on 32 of those trips.  Offensively, the team has generated 28 offensive plays of 20-plus yards through five games this season.  Through five games, the program ranks first in the Big Ten Conference and 11th nationally in converting 54 percent of its third-down attempts.

Penn State will look to bounce back from a 44-24 setback to the Indiana Hoosiers as 3.5-point road favorites last Saturday, as it was the team’s first-ever loss in that particular series.  The Nittany Lions have scored on 17 of their 18 trips inside the red zone—finishing with a touchdown 13 times.  It’s important to point out that the squad ran 93 plays last time out, which is the most of any game this season.  Penn State is 4-2 SU and 4-1-1 ATS when the betting line is between +3 to -3 since 2011, with the OVER going 5-1 in that situation.

The Nittany Lions have a major playmaker in wide receiver Allen Robinson, who leads the conference in averaging 124.2 receiving yards per game.  He made a career-high 12 catches for 173 yards and two touchdowns against the Hoosiers.  Penn State will be celebrating its 94th Homecoming game in this affair, which is important to consider when looking over the college football odds page.

Sports bettors will likely back the Wolverines due to the Nittany Lions being 1-3-1 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record.

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