Big Ten College Basketball Betting Picks: #23 Indiana Hoosiers at Ohio State Buckeyes

#23 Indiana Hoosiers at Ohio State Buckeyes
Value City Arena – Columbus, Ohio

Sunday, January 25, 2015, 1:30 pm Eastern, TV: CBS
Opening Line: Ohio State -8 1/2
Current Line: Ohio State -8 1/2
Opening Total: 151
Current Total: 151
Opening Money Line: Ohio State -425 / Indiana +345
Current Money Line: Ohio State -425 / Indiana +345

Ohio State is an 8 point favorite against Indiana Sunday afternoon.
Ohio State is an 8.5 point favorite against Indiana Sunday afternoon.

The 15-4 Indiana Hoosiers travel to the 15-5 Ohio State Buckeyes Sunday in a key Big Ten game. Indiana is 5-1 in conference and in second place a half game behind Wisconsin for the lead. Ohio State is 4-3 and part of a five way tie for fifth.

Indiana leads the series 103-76 against Ohio State, but the Buckeyes are 51-35 in Columbus. Ohio State has won 8 of the last 12 in the series at home and 6 of the last 7 in Columbus. Indiana won two weeks ago in Bloomington 69-66. This is the last scheduled meeting this season but the Ohio State seniors will have played Indiana 9 times in their careers after this game.

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Indiana is coached by Tom Crean. The Hoosiers have a home loss to Eastern Washington, neutral site losses to Louisville and Georgetown both at Madison Square Garden, and a road loss to Michigan State. Indiana has won 4 straight games. The Hoosiers have home wins over Texas Southern, SMU, Pittsburgh, Ohio State, Penn State and Maryland 89-70 Thursday night. Indiana has a neutral site win over Butler in Indianapolis, plus road wins over Nebraska and Illinois. The Hoosiers are 10-8 ATS and the total is 13-4 this season. Indiana was a one point favorite over Maryland and the total was 145.5.

Ohio State is coached by Thad Matta. The Buckeyes have road losses at Louisville, Indiana and Iowa, a neutral site loss to North Carolina in Chicago, and a home loss to Iowa. Ohio State has home wins over Marquette, James Madison, Colgate, Morehead State, Miami-(OH), Wright State, Illinois and Michigan, plus road wins over Minnesota and Northwestern 69-67 Thursday night. The Buckeyes are 8-10-1 ATS and the total is 10-7-1 this season. Ohio State was a 7.5 point favorite at Northwestern and the total was 129.

Indiana is outscoring teams 82-71 this season. The Hoosiers are #9 nationally in scoring but #296 out of 353 teams in points allowed. Indiana is shooting 48.3% from the field including 40.7% from 3 point range. The Hoosiers are in the top 25 nationally in both categories. Indiana makes 72.4% of their free throws. Opponents are shooting 43.5% from the field and 31.3% from 3 point range. Indiana averages 38 rebounds a game and opponents average 32.1 per game. The Hoosiers are #47 nationally in rebounding. Indiana averages 14.5 assists, 11.6 turnovers, 5.3 steals and 3.5 blocks per game. Opponents average 12.4 assists, 11.1 turnovers, 7.3 steals and 3.8 blocks per game.

Forward James Blackmon, Jr. averages 16.9 assists, 5.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists. Yogi Ferrell averages 15.4 points, 3.5 rebounds and 5 assists per game. Troy Williams averages 13.5 points, 6.2 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Robert Johnson averages 9.6 points, 3.7 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1 steal per game. Hanner Mosquera-Perea averages 7.4 points, 5 rebounds and 1.6 blocks per game. He is out until mid-February with a knee injury. Nick Zeisloft, Collin Hartman, Emmitt Holt, and Stanford Robinson will also get time in the rotation. Forward Devin Davis is out indefinitely with a concussion.

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Ohio State is outscoring teams 80-61 this season. The Buckeyes are #15 in scoring nationally. Ohio State is shooting 50.4% from the field and 38.8% from 3 point range. The Buckeyes are #3 nationally in field goal shooting and #34 in 3 point shooting. Ohio State makes 69.7% of their free throws. Opponents are shooting 39.4% from the field and 30.6% from 3 point range. Ohio State averages 35.9 rebounds per game and opponents average 30 per game. The Buckeyes average 16.9 assists, 11.3 turnovers, 8.7 steals and 5.3 blocks per game. Opponents average 13.5 assists, 16.6 turnovers, 5.3 steals and 2.4 blocks per game.

Guard D’Angelo Russell averages 19.3 points, 5.2 rebounds, 4.9 assists, and 1.8 steals per game. Forward Marc Loving averages 11.3 points and 3.8 rebounds. He is questionable with an undisclosed injury after playing limited minutes against Northwestern. Sam Thompson averages 10.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, 2.2 assists, and 1.3 steals per game. Shannon Scott averages 8.1 points, 3.5 rebounds, 6.9 assists and 2.2 steals per game. Kam Williams averages 7.3 points a game. Amir Williams averages 6.9 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2 blocks per game. Jae’Sean Tate averages 6.8 points and 4.6 rebounds per game. Keita Bates-Diop, Trey McDonald, and Anthony Lee will also get minutes in the rotation.

Indiana is 4-0 ATS in Sunday games and 4-10 after a cover. The underdog has covered the last 4 games in this series. The over is 5-2-1 in this series recently including 3-1-1 in Columbus.

Ohio State is 5-1-1 ATS after failing to cover, 5-1 at home, 8-17-1 overall, 5-12-1 ATS after a straight up win, and against teams with winning records, 3-10 against Big Ten teams, and 1-4 in Sunday games. The home team has covered 5 of the last 7 games in this series. The Buckeyes are 9-4 ATS against the Hoosiers recently including 4-1 in Columbus.

The Ohio State crowd should be in a festive mood a day after the university had a rally in front of 45,000 fans to celebrate the school’s recent college football championship. Both of these teams like to run so this should be a high scoring game. I think these teams are evenly matched and 8.5 points seems like a lot.

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