Big 12 College Football Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at #21 TCU Horned Frogs

Oklahoma Sooners at #21 TCU Horned Frogs
Saturday, October 1, 2016, 5:00 pm Eastern, TV: Fox
Amon G. Carter Stadium – Fort Worth, Texas
Opening Line: Oklahoma -1
Current Line: Oklahoma -3 1/2
Opening Total: 70 (under -121)
Current Total: 66 1/2
Opening Money Line: Oklahoma -175 / TCU +155
Current Money Line: Oklahoma -175 / TCU +155

Oklahoma looks to rebound from a poor start as they open Big 12 play at TCU Saturday.
Oklahoma looks to rebound from a poor start as they open Big 12 play at TCU Saturday.

The Oklahoma Sooners entered the season ranked in the top three and had dreams of returning to the playoffs. Those dreams were over by the middle of September as they were throttled by Houston and Ohio State who are both currently top six teams. The Sooners can still win the Big 12 as they open conference play at the Texas Christian Horned Frogs Saturday night. Oklahoma is 1-2 this season and TCU is 3-1 including 1-0 in conference.

Oklahoma leads the series 10-5 against TCU including 5-1 in Fort Worth. The Sooners won last year in Norman 30-29 when the Horned Frogs went for two and the win instead of tying it up and sending it into overtime.

Oklahoma is coached by Bob Stoops. The Sooners lost at Houston 33-23 and at home against Ohio State 45-24 two weeks ago. The only win for Oklahoma came against Louisiana-Monroe 59-17 at home. Oklahoma was a 2 point underdog against Ohio State and the total was 58.5. Oklahoma is 0-3 ATS and the total is 2-1 this season.

TCU is coached by Gary Patterson. The Horned Frogs have home wins over South Dakota State 59-41 and Iowa State 41-20, plus a road win at SMU 33-3 last Friday. TCU lost at home to Arkansas 41-38 in overtime. The Horned Frogs are 1-3 ATS and the total is 3-1 this season. TCU was a 21.5 point favorite against SMU and the total was 68.

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Oklahoma is outscoring teams 35-32 this season. The Sooners average 479 yards per game on offense including 300 passing and 179 rushing yards. On defense, Oklahoma allows 401 yards per game including 248 passing and 153 rushing yards. Oklahoma is -3 in turnovers with 5 giveaways. The Sooners average 41 penalty yards per game and opponents average 62 per game. Oklahoma is 16/40 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 19/50. The Sooners have forced 5 sacks and allowed 11 this season. Oklahoma is 9/10 scoring in the red zone with 6 touchdowns and opponents are 8/10 with 4 touchdowns.

Oklahoma quarterback Baker Mayfield has thrown for 793 yards with 7 touchdowns and two interceptions. He only has 4 rushing yards on 21 attempts mainly because of all the sacks Back-up Austin Kendall played the second half against ULM and threw for 108 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Running back Joe Mixon has 28 carries for 235 yards and a touchdown, and also has 7 catches for 92 yards. Samaje Perine has 33 carries for 149 yards and 2 touchdowns along with 5 catches for 66 yards. Abdul Adams has 18 carries for 91 yards. Daniel Brooks is questionable with an undisclosed injury.

Receiver Mark Andrews has 9 catches for 211 yards and 4 touchdowns. Dede Westbrook has has 17 catches for 154 yards. A.D. Miller has catches for 104 yards and 2 touchdowns. Five defensive players are listed on the injury report.

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TCU is outscoring teams 43-26 this season.  TCU is #19 nationally in scoring. The Horned Frogs average 576 yards per game on offense including 380 passing and 96 rushing yards. The Horned Frogs are #5 in total offense and #6 in passing nationally. TCU allows 385 total yards on defense including 254 passing and 131 rushing yards. The Horned Frogs are -2 in turnovers with 5 giveaways. TCU averages 84 penalty yards per game and opponents average 39 yards per game. The Horned Frogs are 37/68 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 31/74. TCU has forced 14 sacks and allowed 5 this season. The Horned Frogs are 22/26 scoring in the red zone with 15 touchdowns and opponents are 15/16 with 8 touchdowns.

Quarterback Kenny Hill has thrown for 1,487 yards with 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, and also has  166 yards on 33 carries with 6 touchdowns. The transfer from Texas A&M has found a home in Fort Worth but needs to cut down on the interceptions. Foster Sawyer has taken a few snaps as well.

Running back Kyle Hicks has 52 carries for 314 yards and 5 touchdowns and has 20 catches for 221 yards and a touchdown. Trevorris Johnson has 10 carries for 87 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Derrick Green has 22 carries for 85 yards and a touchdown. Shaun Nixon is out for the season with a broken leg.

Receiver John Diarse has 16 catches for 290 yards and a touchdown. Taj Williams has 19 catches for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns. Kyle Hicks has 20 catches for 221 yards and a touchdown. Jaelen Austin has 5 catches for 94 yards and 2 touchdowns. Desmon White has 13 catches for 89 yards.  KaVontae Turpin has 16 catches for 196 yards. He is out with a knee injury until late October. Ty Slanina has 9 catches for 87 yards. He is questionable with a shoulder injury. Six defensive players are listed on the injury report.

Oklahoma is 6-1 ATS in Big 12 games, 4-1 against teams with winning home records and in October, 25-11 after a straight up loss, 15-7 after allowing more than 200 rushing yards, 1-4 against teams with winning records, 0-4 overall and 0-5 on grass. The under is 5-1 in this series recently.

TCU is 9-1 ATS after gaining more than 450 total yards, 7-1 in October, 16-5 on grass, 14-5 at home, 5-2 after a straight up win, 12-5 after a cover, 9-4 after allowing less than 20 points, 36-17 against teams with losing road records, and 0-5 after passing for more than 280 yards. TCU is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games against Oklahoma and were the underdog in each of those contests.

Oklahoma has not looked good so far and has had a week off to stew in that fact. This should be a high scoring game as neither defense is very good. I like Oklahoma to rebound in a close game on the road to get back on track.

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