#15 Oklahoma Sooners at #17 Iowa State Cyclones
Hilton Coliseum – Ames, Iowa
Monday, March 2, 2015, 9:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Opening Line: Iowa State -4 1/2
Current Line: Iowa State -5 1/2
Opening Total: 152 1/2
Current Total: 151
Opening Money Line: Iowa State -215 / Oklahoma +180
Current Money Line: Iowa State -240 / Oklahoma +200
The 20-8 Oklahoma Sooners have won 8 of the last 9 games including 3 straight to improve to 11-5 in Big 12 play, only a game behind 12-4 Kansas. The Sooners host Kansas Saturday in the regular season finale that could decide the Big 12 regular season title. However, first the Sooners have a very difficult road game at 20-8 Iowa State Monday night. Iowa State is 10-6 in conference and tied for third with Baylor and West Virginia.
If Iowa State wins Monday and Kansas beats West Virginia at home Wednesday, then Kansas will clinch the Big 12 regular season title for an 11th straight season. Despite losing two straight games, Iowa State can clinch a share of the title if they win out and Oklahoma beats Kansas. Oklahoma can clinch the Big 12 title outright if they win out and Kansas loses to West Virginia. Otherwise they can clinch a share by beating Iowa State and Kansas even if Kansas beats West Virginia.
Oklahoma leads the series 113-82 against Iowa State but the Cyclones are 47-38 in Ames. Oklahoma won 94-83 in Norman February 9. This is the last scheduled meeting between the teams this season but they could meet in the Big 12 tournament.
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Oklahoma is coached by Lon Kruger. The Sooners have road losses at Creighton, West Virginia, Kansas, Baylor and Kansas State. Oklahoma has neutral site losses to Wisconsin in the Bahamas and Washington in Las Vegas, along with a home loss to Kansas State. Oklahoma has neutral site wins over UCLA and Butler in the Bahamas, home wins over Missouri, Oral Roberts, Weber State, George Mason, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Iowa State, Texas, and TCU 67-60 Saturday, plus road wins over Tulsa, Oklahoma State, TCU and Texas Tech and Texas. The Sooners are 14-12 ATS and the total is 10-15 this season. Oklahoma was a 11.5 point favorite against TCU and the total was 132.5.
Iowa State is coached by Fred Hoiberg. The Cyclones have neutral site losses to Maryland in Kansas City and South Carolina in Brooklyn, plus road losses at Baylor, Texas Tech, Kansas, Oklahoma and Kansas State 70-69 Saturday, plus a home loss to Baylor. The Baylor loss snapped a 21 game home winning streak for the Cyclones. The Cyclones have home wins over Oakland, Arkansas, Oklahoma State, Kansas, Kansas State, Texas, TCU, Texas Tech and West Virginia, neutral site wins over Alabama in Kansas City and Drake in Des Moines, plus road wins over Iowa, West Virginia, Oklahoma State and Texas. Iowa State is 13-12 ATS and the total is 13-10 this season. The Cyclones were 3.5 point favorites at Kansas State and the total was 143.5.
Oklahoma is outscoring teams 72-62 this season. The Sooners are shooting 44.6% from the field and 35% from 3 point range. Oklahoma makes 72.7% of their free throws. The Sooners are #51 nationally in free throw shooting. Opponents are shooting 38.1% from the field and 31.1% from 3 point range. Oklahoma is #9 in field goal defense and #43 in three point defense nationally. The Sooners average 37.9 rebounds per game and opponents average 33.5 per game. Oklahoma is #37 in rebounding but #313 in rebounds allowed out of 353 teams. The Sooners average 13 assists, 12.4 turnovers, 7.1 steals and 5.4 blocks per game. Opponents average 11.3 assists, 14.2 turnovers, 6.6 steals and 3.7 blocks per game.
Guard Buddy Hield averages 17 points, 5.4 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.5 steals per game. Isaiah Cousins averages 12 points, 4.9 rebounds, 2.1 assists, and 1.2 steals per game. TaShawn Thomas averages 11.2 points, 6.2 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 1.6 blocks per game. Ryan Spangler averages 10.4 points, 7.6 rebounds, 1.5 assists, and 1.2 blocks per game. Jordan Woodard averages 9 points, 3.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists and 1.6 steals per game. Dinjiyl Walker, Frank Booker and Khadeem Lattin also get minutes in the rotation. Forward Dante Buford is out for the season because of academics.
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Iowa State is outscoring teams 79-69 this season. The Cyclones are #9 nationally in scoring. Iowa State is shooting 48.6% from the field and 36.5% from 3 point range. The Cyclones are #12 nationally in field goal percentage. ISU makes 68.5% of their free throws. Opponents are shooting 41.8% from the field and 34.9% from 3 point range. Iowa State averages 36.5 rebounds per game and opponents average 31 per game. The Cyclones average 16.9 assists, 11.3 turnovers, 6.1 steals and 3.9 blocks per game. Opponents average 14.7 assists, 13.2 turnovers, 5.8 steals and 3.2 blocks per game.
Georges Niang averages 14.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.4 assists per game. Bryce Dejean-Jones averages 12.4 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 1.2 steals per game. Naz Long averages 11.2 assists, 2.8 rebounds and 1.9 assists. Monte Morris averages 10.9 points, 3.6 rebounds, 5.4 assists, and 1.7 steals per game. Dustin Hogue averages 10.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. Jameel McKay averages 10.4 points, 6.6 rebounds and 2.4 blocks per game. Guard Hallice Cook is out for the season with a hip injury.
Oklahoma is 5-1 ATS in Monday games, 5-2 against teams with winning records, 2-5 in road games and against teams with winning home records, 1-4 after a failing to cover, 0-4 overall and in Big 12 games. The over is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 games in this series including 5-1 in Ames. The Sooners have covered 4 of the last 5 games against the Cyclones
Iowa State is 5-2 ATS against teams with losing road record, and 4-9 after a straight up loss. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games in this series and was favored in each of those contests. The Cyclones are 5-2-1 ATS at home against the Sooners.
Until last week, Iowa State looked almost unbeatable at home. However, the Cyclones do struggle on defense sometimes like they did against Baylor and Oklahoma in the previous meeting. Still the Cyclones should win at home if they can avoid the defensive lapses that have plagued them.