Big 12 College Basketball Betting Preview: #3 Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Tech Red Raiders

#3 Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Wednesday, February 17, 2016, 9:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPNU
United Supermarkets Arena – Lubbock, Texas
Opening Line: Oklahoma -5 1/2
Current Line: Oklahoma -5 (-105)
Opening Total: 148 1/2
Current Total: 147
Opening Money Line: Oklahoma -215 / Texas Tech +185
Current Money Line: Oklahoma -210 / Texas Tech +180

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Oklahoma is a 5 point favorite against Texas Tech Wednesday night.

The 20-4 Oklahoma Sooners are 8-4 in the Big 12. The Sooners are in third place in the Big 12 behind 10-3 Kansas and 9-4 West Virginia. Still, The Sooners are in line for one of the #1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament next month. Oklahoma travels to the 15-9 Texas Tech Red Raiders Wednesday night. The Red Raiders are 5-7 and alone in seventh place in the conference. Texas Tech is currently on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament.

Oklahoma leads the series 37-21 against Texas Tech and the series is tied 13-13 in Lubbock. The Sooners have won three straight games against the Red Raiders including 91-67 in Norman January 26.

Oklahoma is coached by Lon Kruger. The Sooners have road losses at Kansas in triple overtime, Iowa State and Kansas State, plus a home loss to Kansas 76-72 Saturday. Oklahoma has won five of the last seven games. The Sooners have neutral site wins over Villanova, Washington State, Hawaii and Harvard all in Hawaii. Oklahoma has road wins at Memphis, Oklahoma State, Baylor, and LSU, along with home wins over Wisconsin, Oral Roberts, Creighton, Iowa State, Kansas State, West Virginia, Texas Tech, TCU and Texas. Oklahoma is 10-12 ATS and the total is 13-9 this season. The Sooners were 3.5 point underdogs against Kansas and the total was 156.

Texas Tech is coached by Tubby Smith. The Red Raiders have a neutral site loss to Utah in a tournament in Puerto Rico, road losses at Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Texas, plus home losses to Kansas, Baylor, and West Virginia. Texas Tech has won two straight games and three of the last four. The Red Raiders have neutral site wins over Mississippi State and Minnesota in Puerto Rico, home wins over Hawaii, Sam Houston State, South Dakota State, Richmond, Texas, Oklahoma State, and Iowa State, plus road wins at TCU and Baylor 84-66 last Saturday. Texas Tech is 11-10 ATS and the total is 11-10 this season. The Red Raiders were 10 point underdogs at Baylor and the total was 142.5.

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Oklahoma is outscoring teams 84-72 this season. The Sooners are #11 in scoring nationally. Oklahoma is shooting 46.7% from the field and 44.3% from three point range. The Sooners lead the nation in three point shooting. Oklahoma makes 73.3% of their free throws. Opponents are shooting 40.2% from the field and 33.3% from three point range. Oklahoma averages 40.1 rebounds per game and opponents average 33.2 per game. The Sooners average 15.8 assists, 12.8 turnovers, 7.2 steals and 5.8 blocks per game. Opponents average 11 assists, 12.1 turnovers, 7.2 steals and 3.4 blocks per game.

Guard Buddy Hield is the consensus choice for national player of the year. He averages 25.6 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.3 steals per game. Isaiah Cousins averages 13.9 points, 4.6 rebounds, 4.6 assists and 1.5 steals per game. Jordan Woodard averages 13.1 points, 3.1 rebounds, 3.9 assists and 1.7 steals per game. Ryan Spangler averages 10.7 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 2 assists per game. Khadeem Lattin averages 6 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game. Dinjiyl Walker and Dante Buford will also get minutes.

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Texas Tech is outscoring teams 73-70 this season. The Red Raiders are shooting 44.3% from the field and 33.1% from three point range. Texas Tech is #19 nationally in free throw shooting at 75.2% from the field. Opponents are shooting 42.4% from the field and 34.2% from 3 point range. The Red Raiders average 34.6 rebounds per game and opponents average 30.5 per game. Texas Tech averages 13.2 assists, 12.2 turnovers, 5.8 steals and 4.4 blocks per game. Opponents average 11 assists, 13.4 turnovers, 6.2 steals and 3.2 blocks per game.

Devaugntah Williams averages 11.8 points, 3.3 rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1 steal per game. Toddrick Gotcher averages 10.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1 steal per game. Zach Smith averages 10 points, 6.9 rebounds, 1.8 assists, and 1.6 blocks per game. Aaron Ross averages 9.8 points per game and 4.3 rebounds. Justin Gray averages 9.2 points and 3.6 rebounds per game. Norense Odiase averages 9 points and 4.4 rebounds per game. He is out indefinitely with a broken foot. Keenan Evans averages 8.5 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. Matthew Temple and Devon Thomas will also get minutes. Isaiah Manderson is out indefinitely for personal reasons.

Oklahoma is 2-5 ATS after failing to cover, 3-8 in Wednesday games, 5-15 and against Big 12 teams, 1-4 overall, overall and against teams with winning home records, 1-5 after a straight up loss and 0-4 against teams with winning records. The Sooners are 5-2 ATS against the Red Raiders recently.

Texas Tech is 9-2 ATS after a straight up win, 4-1 in Wednesday games, 6-2 after a cover, 3-7 against teams with winning records, and against Big 12 teams, 3-8 overall, and 1-4 at home. The under is 9-4 in this series recently in Lubbock.

Texas Tech is playing a lot better right now with wins over Iowa State and Baylor, and might have played themselves into the NCAA tournament. Still, Oklahoma is simply better. Perhaps this game will be closer than the 24 point blowout in Norman a couple of weeks ago, but I like the Sooners to win comfortably.

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