Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones: Big 12 Conference Football Picks

Baylor Bears at Iowa State Cyclones
Saturday, 10/27/12, 7:00 PM EST, TV:  N/A
Opening Point Spread:  Iowa State -2
Current Betting Line:  Iowa State -2.5
Opening Total:  70
Current Total:  71
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

Baylor Bears WR Terrance Williams has been spectacular over the last three games

Baylor has split its first 10 meetings against Iowa State, as the program looks to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 56-50 setback to the Texas Longhorns as 8.5-point road underdogs last week.  The Bears earned a decisive 49-26 win in last year’s meeting as 15-point home favorites, while going OVER the posted total of 64.  In order to pull off a slight upset, the team will need to get back to causing turnovers, as it’s failed to do so in the last three games.  Baylor is 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games.

The Bears have scored 45-plus points in nine of their last 10 games, with quarterback Nick Florence leading the way during the 2012 campaign, ranking third nationally in pass efficiency with a 172.8 rating.  In six career road starts, Florence has posted four of the top seven yardage totals in road games in school history.  Wide receiver Terrance William has become quite a target in the passing game, catching 30 passes for 660 yards in his last three games.

Iowa State is set to play its Homecoming game that marks the 100th anniversary of the first such event at the school.  The Cyclones have managed to score just 31 combined points in back-to-back losses to the Kansas State Wildcats and Oklahoma State Cowboys, while both games have gone UNDER the total.  Statistically, the team has been out-gained in its last four games, including a deficit in the passing game in each of those contests.  Iowa State is 8-8 ATS at home the last two-plus seasons.

The Cyclones are going to have a hard time limiting the Bears’ offense, which will likely lead to a defeat.  Iowa State is 19-1 under head coach Paul Rhoads when holding teams under 24 points and 3-22 when allowing 24 or more points.  Defensively, the team ranks third in the Big 12 Conference in scoring defense, allowing 27.0 points per game.

Sports bettors will likely back the Bears due to their 5-1 ATS mark in conference games, while the Cyclones are 2-4 ATS as a home favorite.

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