ACC Football: Wake Forest at (14) Florida State Seminoles
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Spread: FLST -21
Betting odds c/o 5dimes
Wake Forest is now 5-1 after its 28-9 Week 6 win over Syracuse. The Demon Deacons lost Week 5 o N.C. State, but had started the season 4-0 with wins over Tulane, Duke, Delaware and Indiana. This week the Demon Deacons travel to face nationally ranked Florida State on the road as 21-point underdogs.
The over/under is set at 53 points by college football oddsmakers at 5dimes for the game which will air at 3:30 Eastern time on ESPN.
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Wake thus far has got it done defensively. The Demon Deacons are holding opponents to just 18 points per game, ranking No. 18 in the nation. Wake scores just 24.3 points per game (No. 103), but the +6.3 point differential is solid and the Demon Deacons do a decent job rushing the ball offensively, ranking No. 62 with 176.5 yards per game.
Wake’s backfield and rushing quarterback John Wolford are effective at chipping away yardage. Matt Colburn leads the team with 361 yards on 87 carries (4.1 yards per) and Wolford has 276 yards on 53 attempts (5.2 yards per attempt). Wolford has five rushing TDs on the year to go with 826 yards on 57.2 percent passing, but he has thrown just three TD passes with two picks on the year. His passer rating is still 111.8, but only one Demon Deacon receiver has more than 200 yards on the year (Tabari Hines with 226 yards on 17 catches).
Wake does feature five receivers with at least 10 catches and 100 yards on the year, but the team is averaging just 11.1 yards per reception and Colburn needs to get more involved. The running back has eight catches for 83 yards, but if Wake could get him to roll out for some more short routes it could go a long way towards furthering the offense. Wake has rushed 13 TDs to its three passing TDs, so getting some short TD passes to Colburn would be one solution for some red zone variation.
Florida State is ranked No. 14 in the nation at 4-2 and is coming off a 20-19 thriller over instate rival Miami. The Seminoles blocked a PAT and defeated then-No. 10 Miami by a point with just 1:38 remaining in the game. Deondre Francois had 234 yards and two TDs on 20 of 31 passing, and Dalvin Cook had a big game with 150 yards on 27 carries, including a long run of 54 yards. Kermit Whitfield was the star receiver with a team tying high seven catches for a team leading 83 yards and a TD, and Cook caught one 59-yard pass for a TD.
Francois is battling a shoulder injury, but he is expected to play this week. It is unclear if it will affect his throwing or not.
Florida State amassed 407 total yards on the game while holding the Hurricanes to just 62 rushing yards and 214 passing. It was a pretty dominant performance for what equated to just a one-point victory, and it is a good sign for a Seminoles team that has already fallen to North Carolina and Louisville. The Seminoles are not necessarily in the running for a national title, but it can salvage it with an ACC title.
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That said, the Seminoles do face No. 3 Clemson after this week and No. 18 Florida on Nov. 26. Florida State by no means has anything guaranteed to itself this season, and this week may be a waltz over a weak ACC foe, but the rest of the season has plenty of obstacles for Jimbo Fisher’s team to overcome.
Cook has 785 yards on 134 carries and seven TDs, including a 75-yard TD run and a 5.9 yard per carry average. Jacques Patrick also has had success with 264 yards on 42 carries, but Francois has struggled with just 150 yards on 57 attempts (2.6 yards per carry). The Seminoles still average 5.1 yards per carry as a team and have 16 rushing TDs through six games, but they can get it in the end zone in the air too.
Florida State has 10 receiving TDs and Travis Rudolph has three of them to go with his 259 yards on 19 catches. Jesus Wilson has 388 yards on 29 catches and Cook has been good for 20 catches out of the backfield for another 345 yards. Cook is the most lethal offensive talent on the roster and is good enough to carry the Seminoles as three-TD favorites over Wake this week.
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