(19) Cincinnati at (18) Memphis
Time: 2:30 PM CST (ABC)
Spread: MEM -12.5
Odds c/o 5dimes
The Memphis Tigers have won its last five games and enter its finale against Cincinnati as 12.5-point favorites on its home field. The game will kickoff at 2:30 PM (CST) on ABC, and this game carries all the weight and glory of an AAC crown for its winner.
The over/under is set at 58 total points according to NCAA football oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.
Memphis has won five straight since losing 28-30 to Temple six weeks ago, its only loss of the 2019-20 season.
The Tigers have dominated its opponents, scoring 42.2 per game while giving up just under 25. Its pass offense is top-20 at 292 yards per game, and it is in the top-40 of rush attacks at No. 35, with 196.2 per game.
The Tigers are getting amazing production from its quarterback Brady White. He has totaled 3,074 yards on the season with a 67.1 percentage, 30 touchdowns, and just seven interceptions (Though he threw two last week).
White has not been good with his rush attempts, generating -46 yards on his 41 tries, but the rushing of Kenneth Gainwell has more than made up for it. The No. 1 rusher has 1,294 yards this season on 189 carries (6.8 per) and has 12 of the team’s 26 rushing touchdowns. No. 2 rusher Kylan Watkins trails him with just 325 yards and three touchdowns.
Memphis top-six receivers have all done work. Six Tigers total over 200 receiving yards on the year, paced by Demonte Coxie who leads the team in catches (53), yardage (834) and leads the team lead in touchdowns (8). Antonio Gibson leads the team in yards-per-catch at 22.1, and he has 596 yards on just 27 catches with his seven touchdowns.
Memphis has 30 receiving touchdowns on the season while averaging 14.9 yards-per-catch as a team.
Kicker Riley Patterson has been superb. He has hit 98 percent of his PATs and 12 of 14 field goals, with one of his two misses coming from beyond the 50-yard-line (where he is still 2 of 3 on the year, with a long-kick of 50-yards).
Cincinnati has just one loss on the season, and a forgivable one, its Week 2 loss to the now-No. 1 ranked Ohio State Buckeyes. It is perfect (7-0) in AAC play.
Cincy has a powerful rush offense that ranks No. 34 at 197.3 yards per game. It manages well under 200 via the passing game, but the team scores 32.7 per game while limiting opponents to just under 20 per game, a point differential of +12.8.
The Bearcats’ top rusher is Michael Warren II. He has 939 yards on 196 carries and 11 of the team’s 21 rushing touchdowns. Desmond Ridder has 432 yards on 112 attempts, but just one touchdown as the No. 2 backfield option. Gerrid Doaks leads the team in yards-per-carry at 5.8 and he has five touchdowns, as well.
Quarterback Desmond Ridder has been reasonably accurate and effective despite the Bearcats not relying so heavily on the passing game. He has thrown for 1,836 yards at a 56 percent clip with 17 TDs and just eight INTs. His passer rating is 129.1. Ridder’s top-three receivers have all topped 400 yards on the season.
Alec Pierce leads the team in receiving yardage (457), but tight end Josiah Deguara has been the star of the pass offense. He has a team-best 30 receptions for 424 yards while leading the team with seven touchdowns. Cincy has scored 17 touchdowns via the pass, and it averages 12.7 yards-per-attempt.
Kicker Sam Crosa has had his struggles. While perfect on PATs (40 of 40), he has missed five of his 16 field goal attempts, with all four of the five misses coming from within 40-yards.