{"id":9510,"date":"2010-10-21T16:53:44","date_gmt":"2010-10-21T21:53:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/?p=9510"},"modified":"2010-10-21T16:58:28","modified_gmt":"2010-10-21T21:58:28","slug":"denver-nuggets-player-projection-prop-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/denver-nuggets-player-projection-prop-bets-9510\/","title":{"rendered":"Denver Nuggets Player Projection Prop Bets"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>
How will Melo's situation affect his stats and that of his teammates?<\/figcaption><\/figure>Things are a-brewin’ in Denver, with all talking about where Carmelo Anthony will play next.\u00a0 Frustrated with the lack of changes in personnel from year to year, Carmelo has said he wants out of Denver, and it appears his likely destinations are either New Jersey or New York.\u00a0 How will that affect Melo himself, and his teammates?\u00a0 Can these variables be accounted for when betting on the Nuggets’ players?\u00a0 This article will take a look at those questions and more, as we evaluate the Nuggets Player Prop bets from Bodog.<\/p>\n

Carmelo Anthony Over\/Under PPG 27.5<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last season, Melo averaged 28.2.\u00a0 In the two seasons prior to last, however, he averaged less than 26 a game.\u00a0 So the question is:\u00a0 Has Melo really improved or was last season a fluke?\u00a0 I’m going to have to say that he has really improved.\u00a0 However, calling this bet is still difficult to do, because of the variable of Melo being traded.\u00a0 While I do think there’s a pretty good chance Melo averages more than 27.5, it is too dicey and I probably would advise not betting on this one.<\/p>\n

Chancey Billups Over\/Under PPG 17.7<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over.\u00a0 A big variable to consider in this bet, even aside from the possibility of Melo being traded, is the chance that back up Ty Lawson sees an increased role this season.\u00a0 Still, though, Billups averaged 19.5 last season, and 17.9 the year before last.\u00a0 Moreover, if Melo is moved, as it seems very possible, Billups role will increase further.<\/p>\n

Chauncey Billups Over\/Under APG 6.5<\/strong><\/p>\n

Under.\u00a0 Billups did not average more than 6 last season, and Lawson might shift Billups over to SG some more this season, which will only further hurt Billups’ assist production.\u00a0 This is an easy ‘under.’<\/p>\n

Al Harrington Over\/Under PPG 16.0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over.\u00a0 Harrington promises to get a lot of looks with Kenyon Martin out in the early going, as well as Birdman possibly missing some time.\u00a0 Because Harrington averaged more than 16 last year, and he is now in a position to have to shoot even more, this is a pretty easy ‘over,’ I think.\u00a0 In fact, I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see Harrington in the 18.5-20.0 ppg range.<\/p>\n

JR Smith Over\/Under 15.5\u00a0 ppg<\/strong><\/p>\n

This is another bet I advise staying away from.\u00a0 JR Smith is such a headache that he can go into George Karl’s doghouse at any time.\u00a0 15.5 is about exactly what he averaged last year, and he is always CAPABLE of putting up 20+ ppg, but he is a headcase and very unpredictable.\u00a0 To gamble on such a player would be just gambling, not based on any realistic projections.<\/p>\n

Nen\u00ea Over\/Under 13.3 ppg<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over.\u00a0 Easiest over of the entire Nuggets set so far.\u00a0 He averaged 14.8 last year, 16.1 the year before, and this year he is starting the season with Kenyon Martin and Birdman injured.\u00a0 With the likely hood that Nene plays 36-38 mpg, more than his 33 last year, there is absolutely no reason for him to average less than 13.3 ppg.\u00a0 In fact he will probably average around 16 a game.<\/p>\n

Will Carmelo be traded before the end of the season? YES -190, NO +155<\/strong><\/p>\n

Who knows.\u00a0 Only a fool would make this bet.\u00a0 New York and New Jersey have yet to assemble a package that has enticed Denver to pull the trigger, but with his contract expiring, there are two ways they could go:\u00a0 either a) let it expire and sign a FA in the summer or b) try to get something back before losing him.\u00a0 Still, there is really know way to know which way Denver is going to go with this one.\u00a0 Pointless bet to make when there are\u00a0much better wagers on the board.<\/p>\n

For point spread picks on the individual games be sure to check out the NBA basketball picks packages we offer.\u00a0 We have crushed the books the last 4 years in the NBA and will do once again in the 2010-11 NBA season.\u00a0 Full season package is on early bird special right now and is a great value for all betting NBA games this season.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Things are a-brewin’ in Denver, with all talking about where Carmelo Anthony will play next.\u00a0 Frustrated with the lack of changes in personnel from year to year, Carmelo has said he wants out of Denver, and it appears his likely destinations are either New Jersey or New York.\u00a0 How will that affect Melo himself, and […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40250,"featured_media":9421,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1444,133],"tags":[3306,49,105,526,3561,3562],"class_list":["post-9510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-headlines","category-nba-handicapping","tag-al-harrington","tag-carmelo-anthony","tag-chauncey-billups","tag-denver-nuggets","tag-j-r-smith","tag-nene-hilario"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9510","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40250"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9510"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9510\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9593,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9510\/revisions\/9593"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9421"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}