{"id":8761,"date":"2010-10-09T05:30:10","date_gmt":"2010-10-09T10:30:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/?p=8761"},"modified":"2010-10-09T02:44:00","modified_gmt":"2010-10-09T07:44:00","slug":"football-picks-from-the-wiseguys","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/football-picks-from-the-wiseguys-8761\/","title":{"rendered":"Football Picks From the Wiseguys"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Wiseguys were playing Utah State against BYU last week, and fading them with their football picks this week<\/figcaption><\/figure>The Utah State Aggies won a huge in-state battle over the BYU Cougars last week. They\u2019ll look to build on that moment when they go on the road to play the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs this Saturday.<\/p>\n

The Aggies opened as 2 \u00bd point road favorites, but over the course of the week the college football odds\u00a0have swung to the Bulldogs being favored by a point at most sites. The squares were hitting the Aggies early on, but now they\u2019re on the side of the Bulldogs at nearly 3:1. While this isn\u2019t typical reverse action, the sharps are the reason for this line swing. The wiseguys have been laying down some big money on the Bulldogs, and following their lead feels like a good play.<\/p>\n

The technical numbers lean toward Louisiana Tech. Against the spread over the past 3 seasons, the Bulldogs are 9-2 ats at home, 5-2 as a favorite, 7-0 off a loss against a conference rival, and 6-1 after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses. The Aggies have been solid in this situation, too. They\u2019re 8-6 ats on the road, 13-7 as an underdog, 7-3 in October, and 5-2 against teams with a losing record. But with a good amount of sharp money coming in on La Tech, chances are the wiseguys have found some key situational plays that are decidedly in favor of the Bulldogs.<\/p>\n

Utah State\u2019s claim to fame this season was their week 1 loss to Oklahoma. The Aggies came in as a 5 touchdown underdog and lost by 7. They gave the Sooners more than they wanted. But they couldn\u2019t handle their press very well. The next week they beat Idaho State \u2013 an FCS school \u2013 by 21 points and failed to cover the spread by 10 points. Then they lost to Fresno State at home and San Diego State on the road, and didn\u2019t come close to covering either spread. They got their act together for a big game against an overrated BYU team, but chances are this will be another let-down for the Aggies. It\u2019s tough to follow up such an emotional win with a road game against a conference opponent. And given the way Utah State collapsed after the Oklahoma game, don\u2019t be surprised to see them lay an egg.<\/p>\n

Louisiana Tech has struggled in their first season after Derek Dooley left for the Tennessee job. But that\u2019s understandable given the Bulldogs\u2019 schedule. La Tech won their first game at Grambling, and then got stomped at Texas A&M. They lost by 2 touchdowns to a decent Navy team at home, followed by a one point home loss to Southern Miss. Last week they lost at Hawaii, 41-21. In all honesty, they should be 1-4. In their two conference games, they covered Southern Miss at home, but not Hawaii on the road, which is always a difficult place to play. Look for the Bulldogs to finish their schedule with several more wins.<\/p>\n

Louisiana Tech is particularly good in this situation, and since the wiseguys are playing them, they have to be a strong play for reasons most people are unaware of. Importantly, too, Utah State is looking at a let-down game after their win over BYU. The line has swung 3 \u00bd points, but Louisiana Tech is still only a 1 point favorite, which means La Tech simply needs to find a way to win the game. Expect the Bulldogs to get their second win on Saturday. Follow the lead of the wiseguys and back the Bulldogs.<\/p>\n

To find the best football picks of the weekend, join the winning team at Maddux Sports. The wiseguys at Maddux have been having a sensational season, beating the spread at a 70% clip. Do your bankroll a favor and sign up for our premium, guaranteed winning college football picks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Utah State Aggies won a huge in-state battle over the BYU Cougars last week. They\u2019ll look to build on that moment when they go on the road to play the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs this Saturday. The Aggies opened as 2 \u00bd point road favorites, but over the course of the week the college football […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":203,"featured_media":8453,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[200,1444],"tags":[2274,2839,3291,2808,29,2617,2529,2524],"class_list":["post-8761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","category-headlines","tag-college-football-odds","tag-football-picks","tag-louisiana-tech-bulldogs","tag-ncaa-betting","tag-ncaa-football","tag-reverse-action","tag-utah-state-aggies","tag-wiseguys"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8761","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/203"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8761"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8761\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8878,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8761\/revisions\/8878"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8453"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8761"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8761"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8761"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}