{"id":6841,"date":"2010-09-01T22:00:18","date_gmt":"2010-09-02T03:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/?p=6841"},"modified":"2010-09-01T16:46:51","modified_gmt":"2010-09-01T21:46:51","slug":"fade-the-public-favorite-look-for-chiefs-to-win-and-cover","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/fade-the-public-favorite-look-for-chiefs-to-win-and-cover-6841\/","title":{"rendered":"Fade the Public Favorite: Look for Chiefs to Win and Cover"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Aaron
No Rodgers, no problem says the public, they will continue to take the +6 on the Pack all the way til kickoff<\/figcaption><\/figure>The Green Bay Packers have been the most offensively prolific team in the NFL preseason. Through 3 games the Pack have put up 110 points, including a 59-24 drubbing of the Indianapolis Colts last week. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers has been outstanding, having thrown 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.<\/p>\n

Thursday night Green Bay (2-1) travels to Kansas City (0-3) to take on the Chiefs in the final week of preseason play. Our NFL lines page indicates the Chiefs opened as 6 \u00bd point favorites with sportsbooks currently putting the game at either 6 or 5 \u00bd points. The public has been all over the Packers, siding with Green Bay in over 75% of wagers. Don\u2019t be surprised to see the line come down another point.<\/p>\n

The public has bet the Packers heavily all preseason, and this week is no different. It\u2019s no secret that the Packers sport an explosive offense, and Aaron Rodgers and company have not disappointed. On top of that, Kansas City is one of only three winless teams in preseason action (Chicago and Indianapolis). After KC\u2019s poor campaign last season, Green Bay is an attractive wager for most bettors. But all things considered, I think it\u2019s worth your time and money to fade the public favorite Packers in this match-up.<\/p>\n

If Aaron Rodgers plays at all, it won\u2019t be much. I see one or two series. Then backups Matt Flynn and Graham Harrell will show the Green Bay coaching staff what they can do with the second and third stringers. Both Flynn and Harrell have been decent so far; last week Flynn tossed two touchdowns in the slaughtering of Indianapolis. Regarding the past week of practice and upcoming game with Kansas City, Flynn said, \u201cIt\u2019s definitely a big week and a week that I think all of the twos\u2019 look forward to. We\u2019re going to get more reps than we have all camp and any of the games, so it\u2019s something to look forward to.\u201d With players fighting to make the 53 man roster cuts this Saturday, look for great effort from all players. But don\u2019t expect the Packers to come anywhere near the 59 points they put up last week. Instead, I see somewhere between 17 and 24 points.<\/p>\n

Additionally, injuries have been a problem for Green Bay. Cornerback Al Harris was recently placed on the physically unable to perform (PUP) list, which means he won\u2019t be eligible to play for six weeks. Starting safety Atari Bigby joined Harris on the PUP list. The linebacking core has been hit hard, too.<\/p>\n

We will be releasing a handful of plays for the Thursday NFL and college football card.\u00a0 You can get on board with these winners via our NFL pro picks webpage.<\/em><\/p>\n

While Kansas City is winless, they\u2019ve been in every contest. Last week Philadelphia spoiled the Chiefs\u2019 night with a last minute touchdown toss from Mike Kafka, beating KC 20-17. But the Chiefs arguably outperformed the Eagles and led for most of the second half. The running game was especially productive for the Chiefs, rushing for 168 yards on 36 carries. And rookie do-everything running back Dexter McCluster has shown signs of stardom.<\/p>\n

The Chiefs went winless last preseason and I expect the players and coaches to do everything they can to avoid a similar fate this year. While starters don\u2019t usually play extended minutes in the final preseason game, I look for quarterback Matt Cassell to get a decent number of snaps, with backup Tyler Palko getting a lot of action, too. Brodie Croyle has finally recovered from an arm injury, was able to practice this past week, and might see some limited action. The running backs \u2013 Jamaal Charles, Thomas Jones, McCluster, and Jackie Battle \u2013 should have a successful night against a depleted Green Bay defense. Packers coach Mike McCarthy is not concerned about winning this game while the Chiefs as an organization are. Kansas City has the edge here. Consider fading the public favorite Packers and following the Chiefs to a payday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Green Bay Packers have been the most offensively prolific team in the NFL preseason. Through 3 games the Pack have put up 110 points, including a 59-24 drubbing of the Indianapolis Colts last week. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers has been outstanding, having thrown 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Thursday night Green Bay (2-1) travels to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":203,"featured_media":5440,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1444,132],"tags":[2620,1119,303,1772,1919,1930,2378],"class_list":["post-6841","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-headlines","category-nfl-handicapping","tag-fade-public-favorite","tag-green-bay-packers","tag-kansas-city-chiefs","tag-nfl-betting","tag-nfl-lines","tag-nfl-odds","tag-nfl-preseason"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6841","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/203"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6841"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6841\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6868,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6841\/revisions\/6868"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5440"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6841"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6841"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6841"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}