{"id":16077,"date":"2011-06-12T13:51:06","date_gmt":"2011-06-12T18:51:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/?p=16077"},"modified":"2011-08-10T00:30:05","modified_gmt":"2011-08-10T05:30:05","slug":"game-six-miamis-backs-are-against-the-wall-betting-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/game-six-miamis-backs-are-against-the-wall-betting-preview-16077\/","title":{"rendered":"Game Six: Miami’s Backs are Against the Wall – Betting Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dallas Mavericks AT Miami Heat<\/strong>
\nJun 11, 2011 at 8 PM EST<\/strong>
\nOpening Line:\u00a0 MIA -6<\/strong>
\nCurrent Line:\u00a0 MIA -5<\/strong>
\nOpening Total:\u00a0 187<\/strong>
\nCurrent Total:\u00a0 187<\/strong>
\nOpening Moneyline:\u00a0 MIA -270, DAL +230<\/strong>
\nCurrent Moneyline:\u00a0 MIA -225, DAL +195
\n<\/strong>Dont\u00a0understand what these numbers are?\u00a0 Learn it all here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n

Dallas Leads Best Of Seven 3-2<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Heat
LeBron is averaging 2.2 points per fourth quarter this series<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

After Game 3, few imagined it would come to this.\u00a0 Dallas defended their homecourt well enough, winning 2 of 3 in Dallas to return to Miami one win away from being NBA Champs.<\/p>\n

It has to be a bitter pill to LeBron James who was considering this to be his first championship run long before it culminated in an actual championship.\u00a0 Dirk Nowitzki, though, knows the feeling better than anybody, after having plugged away at it for so long:<\/p>\n

\u201cThat\u2019s just a part of the game if you\u2019re the star or the face of the franchise,\u201d Dirk commented on Saturday. \u201cIf you win, it\u2019s great for you, and everybody looks at you. And if you lose, you\u2019re going to get hammered. It\u2019s just part of the business. I think we understand that, we\u2019ve been around long enough. I got the hammered the last 13 years, basically. So hopefully this year I can make the hammering go away for a year.\u201d<\/p>\n

For as good as James has been all year, he’s not getting it done when the Heat need it most:\u00a0 during Dallas’ fourth quarter surges.\u00a0 In 5 games in this series, LeBron is averaging 2.2 points per quarter in the fourth.\u00a0 That’s right, his fourth quarter average if projected over a game is under 9 points per game.\u00a0 James realizes he hasn’t responded to pressure well…”I think the game of basketball can be pressure…basketball is about pressure, how you can handle it.”<\/p>\n

So far, Wade has stood the test of pressure and passed.\u00a0 He’s averaging 28.4 points per game in this series and if the Heat are to win it, he will undoubtedly be the Finals MVP as we discused in our how to pick nba games article<\/a>.<\/p>\n

With the series shifting back to Miami, the Heat hope to keep the pace in their favor.\u00a0 While they are certainly capable of running given their athletic lineup, they seem to thrive in games that score under 200 total.\u00a0 Wade, James, and Chris Bosh combined for 59 points, which would be impressive from most trios, but given the need of scoring that Miami has, it’s just not enough for a team with very mediocre role players.<\/p>\n

On cue, Jason Terry stepped up in game 5 to hit 8 of 12 shots from the floor, including 3 of 5 from distance, to score 21 points, six points per game higher than his season average.\u00a0 He and Dirk scored 50 combined, nearly as much as the Miami trio.\u00a0 To cap that off, Dallas had four other players in double figures, with Marion being the only starter to score in single digits.\u00a0 Tyson Chandler led the Mavs in typical fashion on the boards, but did not have the monster rebounding game he had in game 4.<\/p>\n

The move to start J.J. Barea has proven to be a wise one.\u00a0 The water bug guard scored 17 in the Game 5 win and went 4 of 5 from deep.\u00a0 He also recorded 5 assists with only 1 turnover, a ratio better than point guard Jason Kidd that game (5:1 vs 2:1).<\/p>\n

Everyone knows it, James included, that for Miami to come back and win this series, it’s going to take better play from him.\u00a0 He realizes that this is when legacies are built and that faltering now would put him at nearly a decade of ball without a ring.<\/p>\n

Some betting trends that teach you how to bet<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Dallas is 13-3 SU In their last 16 games and 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games.\u00a0 The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 6 games and they are 6-1 SU in their last 7 on the road.\u00a0 The Mavs are 13-2 SU in their last 15 against the Heat and the Mavs are 6-1 SU In their last 7 on the road against the Heat.<\/p>\n

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games and the Heat are 18-6 SU in their last 24 games.\u00a0 The Heat are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games and the total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games at home.\u00a0 The Heat are 11-1 SU in their last 12 at hom e and they are 2-13 SU in their last 15 against Dallas.\u00a0 The Heat are 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 against the Mavs and the Heat are 1-6 SU In their last 7 at home against Dallas.\u00a0 The Heat are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against the Dallas Mavericks.<\/p>\n

As is often the case with playoff games especially, the line is again in favor of the home team.\u00a0 Miami has won 11 of their last 12 at home, but Dallas’ success in Game 2 shows that it is possible to win big games at American Airlines Arena.\u00a0 I wouldn’t be surprised to see James redeem himself with a big game tonight, but if Dallas’ role players produce again, the series may end tonight.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe\u2019re one win away from my dream, what I\u2019ve worked on for half my life,\u201d Nowitzki said. \u201cThis is really all I\u2019m worried about, this is all I\u2019m focusing on, and not really the off-the-court stuff that happened.\u201d<\/p>\n

Erik Spolestra still feels things can go the Heat’s way in what has been a very close series.\u00a0 \u201cThis is about as close as you can possibly have a series, and you have to stay the course,\u201d coach Erik Spoelstra said. \u201cWe\u2019re doing a lot of things well. It\u2019s a possession game, possession series, it goes down to the end. We\u2019re a very good closing team on both ends of the court.”<\/p>\n

It’s going to come down to possessions, but who will step up on those possessions for Miami?\u00a0 Will Wade be forced to carry the entire load as LeBron wavers?\u00a0 If you dont know which way to go on this game consider reading up on how to handicap NBA basketball<\/a>.\u00a0 Works like this are why Maddux is a staple in the sports handicapping industry.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dallas Mavericks AT Miami Heat Jun 11, 2011 at 8 PM EST Opening Line:\u00a0 MIA -6 Current Line:\u00a0 MIA -5 Opening Total:\u00a0 187 Current Total:\u00a0 187 Opening Moneyline:\u00a0 MIA -270, DAL +230 Current Moneyline:\u00a0 MIA -225, DAL +195 Dont\u00a0understand what these numbers are?\u00a0 Learn it all here. Dallas Leads Best Of Seven 3-2 After Game […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40250,"featured_media":9323,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1444,133],"tags":[692,19,20,2896,3563,5007,66,707],"class_list":["post-16077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-headlines","category-nba-handicapping","tag-chris-bosh","tag-dallas-mavericks","tag-dirk-nowitzki","tag-dwyane-wade","tag-jason-terry","tag-jose-juan-barea","tag-lebron-james","tag-miami-heat"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16077","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40250"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16077"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16077\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17010,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16077\/revisions\/17010"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9323"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16077"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16077"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16077"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}