{"id":16054,"date":"2011-06-10T14:41:15","date_gmt":"2011-06-10T19:41:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/?p=16054"},"modified":"2011-06-10T14:41:15","modified_gmt":"2011-06-10T19:41:15","slug":"al-betting-preview-seattle-mariners-at-detroit-tigers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/al-betting-preview-seattle-mariners-at-detroit-tigers-16054\/","title":{"rendered":"AL Betting Preview:  Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Seattle Mariners (32-31) AT Detroit Tigers (34-28)<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>June 10, 2011 at 7:05 PM EST<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Opening Line:\u00a0 DET -135, SEA +115<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Current Line:\u00a0 DET -125, SEA +104<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Opening Total:\u00a0 8<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Current Total:\u00a0 8<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>SP:\u00a0 SEA- Erik Bedard; DET- Brad Penny<\/strong><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15603\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15603\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-15603\" src=\"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/Brad-Penny-tigers-300x168.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"168\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/Brad-Penny-tigers-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/Brad-Penny-tigers.jpg 495w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15603\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Brad Penny is aging with grace<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Erik Bedard is finally starting to show what he is made of, now that he&#8217;s healthy.\u00a0 He&#8217;s 3-4 this year with a very respectable 3.46 ERA and he gave up only one run and 5 hits in 7 innings of work in a 10-1 Mariners victory on April 27th.<\/p>\n<p>Detroit manager Jim Leyland takes pity on Bedard&#8230;&#8221;That poor guy has been plagued with injuries for years&#8230;but he looked better than I&#8217;ve seen him in a while now.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>That &#8220;poor guy&#8221; has gone 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last 7 starts, after getting off to a horrid start where he compiled a 7.71 ERA in losing all four decisions.\u00a0 Both of his last two starts have been non-decisions, but he did record a quality start against Tampa Bay on Sunday, giving up 3 runs in 7 innings as he struck out 7 in a 9-6 win.\u00a0 Baseball Prospectus predicts a 9-5 record with 114 IPs and a 3.09 ERA.\u00a0 In other words, when Bedard is healthy &#8211; he&#8217;s very good.<\/p>\n<p>Brad Penny will take the mound for the Tigers.\u00a0 He&#8217;s 5-4 with a 4.76 ERA this season and in his last outing he gave up 3 runs in 5 innings pitched (but he threw 100 pitches), and the Tigers won 7-3.\u00a0 He picked up the win for his effort.<\/p>\n<p>Against the Mariners, Penny is 0-2 with a 5.21 ERA in his last 3 starts.\u00a0 Penny is getting up in years now (33) and as that happens pitchers tend to fall off.\u00a0 But that hasn&#8217;t been the case with Penny.\u00a0 His ERA was higher in 2008 &amp; early 2009 than it has been in the latter half of 2009 and 2010 when his ERA has been under 3.00.\u00a0 PECOTA predicts him to fall off some this year, predicting a 4.44 ERA.\u00a0 That figure seems to be about accurate thus far.<\/p>\n<p>Mariners manager Eric Wedge has a good feeling about this season for his club:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I like our guys&#8230;if we can put it all together we&#8217;ve got a chance to be a pretty good ballclub.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Some betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Seattle is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games and they are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games.\u00a0 The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle&#8217;s last 7 games and it has also gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 on the road.\u00a0 Seattle is 2-4 SU In their last 6 on the road and the total has gone OVER In 6 of Seattle&#8217;s last 8 games against Detroit.\u00a0 The Mariners are 4-2 SU In their last 6 against Detroit and the total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 on the road against the Tigers.\u00a0 The Mariners are 4-1 SU in their last 5 on the road against the Tigers.<\/p>\n<p>Detroit is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games and they are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.\u00a0 The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 6 games at home and it has gone OVER in 6 of their last 8 against the Mariners.\u00a0 The Tigers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 against Seattle and the total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 at home against the Mariners.\u00a0 The Tigers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 at home against Seattle.<\/p>\n<p>Erik Bedard is healthy and firing but the Mariners still find themselves underdogs.\u00a0 This is one of the better bets ATS in my opinion, especially given Penny&#8217;s struggles against them.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Seattle Mariners (32-31) AT Detroit Tigers (34-28) June 10, 2011 at 7:05 PM EST Opening Line:\u00a0 DET -135, SEA +115 Current Line:\u00a0 DET -125, SEA +104 Opening Total:\u00a0 8 Current Total:\u00a0 8 SP:\u00a0 SEA- Erik Bedard; DET- Brad Penny Erik Bedard is finally starting to show what he is made of, now that he&#8217;s healthy.\u00a0 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40250,"featured_media":15603,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1444],"tags":[48,220],"class_list":["post-16054","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-headlines","tag-detroit-tigers","tag-seattle-mariners"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16054","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40250"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16054"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16054\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16056,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16054\/revisions\/16056"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15603"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16054"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16054"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16054"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}