{"id":14717,"date":"2011-04-06T16:10:28","date_gmt":"2011-04-06T21:10:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/?p=14717"},"modified":"2011-04-06T16:10:28","modified_gmt":"2011-04-06T21:10:28","slug":"game-iii-minnesota-twins-at-new-york-yankees-betting-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/game-iii-minnesota-twins-at-new-york-yankees-betting-preview-14717\/","title":{"rendered":"Game III: Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Betting Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"

Game III:\u00a0 Minnesota Twins (2-3) AT New York Yankees (3-2)<\/strong>
\nApril 6, 2011 at 7:05 PM EST<\/strong>
\nSP:\u00a0 Min- Carl Pavano; NYY- Freddy Garcia <\/strong>
\nOpening Runline:\u00a0 NY -1.5 (+125), MIN +1.5 (-145)<\/strong>
\nCurrent Runline: NY -1.5 (+115), MIN +1.5 (-135)<\/strong>
\nOpening Moneyline: NYY -160 \/ Min +140<\/strong>
\nCurrent Moneyline:\u00a0 NYY -158 \/ Min +148<\/strong>
\nOpening Total:\u00a0 10<\/strong>
\nCurrent Total:\u00a0 10.5<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"
Twins' ace Carl Pavano takes the mound again tonight after struggling in the season opener.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The series is now split one game a piece.\u00a0\u00a0 The Twins managed to pull out a rare victory over Twins-dominator C.C. Sabathia by virtue of taking advantage of Denard Span once Sabathia left the mound.\u00a0 Sabathia had shut the Twins down for seven innings.<\/p>\n

Now, the Twins will be putting their ace on the mound.\u00a0 A victory here would represent the first time they have beat the Yankees back to back in nearly three years.<\/p>\n

Carl Pavano experienced a good degree of success in 2010.\u00a0 His W-L record was 17-11 and his ERA was well below 4 (3.67 for good measure).\u00a0 His PECOTA projection isn’t as generous for this season, projecting a 6-6 record with a 4.22 ERA, which would be nestled between what he did in 2009 and 2010.\u00a0 Pavano only lasted four innings in the first game of the season and he gave up 7 earned runs in that game, earning himself the loss, a game which the Twins lost 13-3.\u00a0 Pavano has faced the Yankees 8 times, 4 in the regular season & 4 in the playoffs, and his record for those 8 games is 0-3 with a very respectable 3.83 ERA.\u00a0 He has, however, allowed 4 home runs in the last 3 starts against the Yankees.<\/p>\n

The Twins have only won 7 of their last 38 games at Yankee Stadium, so winning two straight would be a definite aberration\u00a0 from the norm.\u00a0 \u201cIt\u2019s never easy to play them, no matter where the game is. And even when you get a lead, those guys know how to win,\u201d Twins manager Ron Gardenhire said. \u201cOur boys showed a lot of courage. It was a great win.\u201d<\/p>\n

This will be his regular season appearance in a Yankee uniform for Freddy Garcia.\u00a0 Last season Garcia finished with a 4.64 ERA and a 12-6 record for the Chicago White Sox.\u00a0 His record against the Twins is 10-7 with a 4.04 ERA.\u00a0 His PECOTA projection is 7-7 with a 4.81 ERA.\u00a0 This is dictated by the fact that his ERA has increased every season he has been in the majors and was a much more respectable 4.20 in his rookie season, 2008.<\/p>\n

Some betting trends:<\/p>\n

Minnesota is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 7 games.\u00a0 The total has also gone UNDER in 5 of their last 7 on the road and they are 3-9 SU in their last 12 road games.\u00a0 Minnesota is 3-18 SU in their last 21 games against the Yankees.\u00a0 The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Twins’ last 14 games against the NY Yankees and the total has also been UNDER in 4 of their last 5 road games in Yankee Stadium.\u00a0 Minnesota is 2-14 SU in their last 16 road games against the Yankees.<\/p>\n

The total has gone OVER in 4 of the Yankees’ last 5 games and the total has also gone OVER in 7 of their last 8 at home.\u00a0 The Yankeese are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home and the total has gone UNDER in 10 of their last 14 against the Minnesota Twins.\u00a0 The Yankees are 18-3 SU in their last 21 against Minnesota and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 home games against the Twins.\u00a0 The Yankees are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games at home against the Twins.<\/p>\n

Given the fact that Pavano played poorly in the season opener, it would seem like a bet against the Yankees might be in order; however, Pavano will likely rebound tonight and pitch a decent game, he’s too good to come out of the gate with back to back clunkers.\u00a0 Also worth noting was the fact that the Yankees’ games have been going OVER the run total so frequently.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Game III:\u00a0 Minnesota Twins (2-3) AT New York Yankees (3-2) April 6, 2011 at 7:05 PM EST SP:\u00a0 Min- Carl Pavano; NYY- Freddy Garcia Opening Runline:\u00a0 NY -1.5 (+125), MIN +1.5 (-145) Current Runline: NY -1.5 (+115), MIN +1.5 (-135) Opening Moneyline: NYY -160 \/ Min +140 Current Moneyline:\u00a0 NYY -158 \/ Min +148 Opening […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40250,"featured_media":4438,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1444],"tags":[240,149],"class_list":["post-14717","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-headlines","tag-minnesota-twins","tag-new-york-yankees"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14717","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40250"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14717"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14717\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14719,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14717\/revisions\/14719"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4438"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14717"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14717"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14717"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}