{"id":13606,"date":"2011-02-23T15:50:55","date_gmt":"2011-02-23T20:50:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/?p=13606"},"modified":"2011-02-23T15:50:55","modified_gmt":"2011-02-23T20:50:55","slug":"deron-less-jazz-era-begins-utah-jazz-at-dallas-mavericks-betting-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/deron-less-jazz-era-begins-utah-jazz-at-dallas-mavericks-betting-predictions-13606\/","title":{"rendered":"Deron-Less Jazz Era Begins: Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Betting Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

Utah Jazz AT Dallas Mavericks
\nFeb 23, 2011 at 8:30 PM EST
\nOpening Line:\u00a0 Dallas -7
\nCurrent Line:\u00a0 Dallas -9.5
\nOpening Total:\u00a0 203
\nCurrent Total:\u00a0 200
\nOpening Moneyline:\u00a0 Dal -310 \/ Uta +260
\nCurrent Moneyline:\u00a0 Dal -600 \/ Utah +400<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"
Deron Williams will no longer be in that huddle<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

As if things weren’t going bad enough for Utah, they now lost their starting point guard, best player, and leading scorer Deron Williams for a mediocre point guard (Devin Harris) and a raw prospect (Derrick Favors).\u00a0 Utah has to be signaling that they are building around Millsap and Al Jefferson, with a big focus on interior play.\u00a0 Now that Sloan is gone the Jazz may go away from the pick and roll style Sloan emphasized all of Stockton & Malone’s careers, and extending it right up until recently with Deron Williams and Carlos Boozer (now in Chicago).\u00a0 Devin Harris will work well enough with Utah’s bigs, but he’s just not Deron Williams.\u00a0 Williams was proving himself to be arguably the very best point guard in the league, or at least the best in the Western Conference (Overall, Derrick Rose might be better).\u00a0 Since the news of the Williams trade, the line has shifted over two points further in Dallas’ favor.<\/p>\n

The Mavericks come in playing excellent ball and are not rumored to be in any trade negotiations at all.\u00a0 They’ve won 11 of their last 12 and have won 8 straight at home.\u00a0 They didn’t make any trades because all in all, they are the most complete team in the league with each position covered by at least an above average player.\u00a0 They just don’t have that many real weaknesses.\u00a0 That’s not to say they are the best team in the league; the Spurs, Celtics, Heat, and Lakers are probably all better; but they are among the best.<\/p>\n

Some betting trends:<\/p>\n

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah’s last 5 games.\u00a0 Utah is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games and 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games.\u00a0 The total has gone OVER In 10 of Utah’s last 14 on the road.\u00a0 Utah is 2-7 SU in their last 9 road games and 3-6 ATS in those 9 games.\u00a0 Utah is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 against the Mavericks and 2-4 SU in their last 6 against them, as well.\u00a0 The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah’s last 5 games on the road against Dallas, and Utah is 2-13 SU in their last 15 road games against Dallas.\u00a0 Utah is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against Dallas.<\/p>\n

The total has gone OVER in all 5 of Dallas’ last 5 games.\u00a0 Dallas is 13-1 SU in their last 14 games and 5-0 SU in their last 5 at home. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas’ last 9 home games.\u00a0 Dallas is 4-2 SU In their last 6 games against Utah and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’ last 5 games at home against Utah.\u00a0 Dallas is 13-2 SU in their last 15 home games against Utah.<\/p>\n

Key Matchups:<\/p>\n

Paul Millsap vs. Dirk Nowitzki<\/strong><\/p>\n

I don’t think I need to tell you which is the better player in this matchup, but Millsap has been very good, in all seriousness.\u00a0 He did put up 46 against the Heat, and Dirk’s highest is 42 (against Detroit).\u00a0 Millsap is a lot shorter than Dirk.\u00a0 Dirk is a true 7’0″ while Millsap is realistically about 6’6″, though listed at 6’8.”\u00a0 Dirk will have no problem getting his jumpers off over Millsap and when he goes to the basket he should be able to reach over Millsap and score with ease.\u00a0 Millsap will score a little on offense, simply because he finds ways to get easy baskets.\u00a0 Without Deron Williams, a lot of easy baskets that Millsap would have received before may disappear now, or even when Devin Harris does enter the Jazz lineup.<\/p>\n

Al Jefferson vs. Tyson Chandler<\/strong><\/p>\n

Chandler is up for the job of handling Jefferson.\u00a0 Despite being much thinner, Chandler has the strength and guile to do a good job of covering someone like Al Jefferson, whose cumbersome and slow movements may be trumped by Chandler’s speed.\u00a0 Chandler is nearly averaging a double-double (10.5 points per game, 9.4 rebounds per game), and he leads the league in field goal percentage at 66.5%.\u00a0 He doesn’t play outside of his comfort zone and takes all good shots, ideal for a big man on any team.\u00a0 Jefferson has great footwork, but it will take more than good footwork to score on Chandler.\u00a0 Oddly, Tyson Chandler only blocks 1.1 shots a game, not a good indicator of the impact he has on defense.<\/p>\n

Tonight’s game might be best to bet on sooner than later.\u00a0 With the news of Deron Williams being moved, the line will continue to shift further and further in Dallas’ favor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Utah Jazz AT Dallas Mavericks Feb 23, 2011 at 8:30 PM EST Opening Line:\u00a0 Dallas -7 Current Line:\u00a0 Dallas -9.5 Opening Total:\u00a0 203 Current Total:\u00a0 200 Opening Moneyline:\u00a0 Dal -310 \/ Uta +260 Current Moneyline:\u00a0 Dal -600 \/ Utah +400 As if things weren’t going bad enough for Utah, they now lost their starting point […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40250,"featured_media":9347,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1444,133],"tags":[676,19,2895,3784,838],"class_list":["post-13606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-headlines","category-nba-handicapping","tag-al-jefferson","tag-dallas-mavericks","tag-deron-williams","tag-paul-millsap","tag-utah-jazz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13606","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40250"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13606"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13606\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13608,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13606\/revisions\/13608"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9347"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13606"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13606"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13606"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}