{"id":13278,"date":"2011-02-10T16:11:22","date_gmt":"2011-02-10T21:11:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/?p=13278"},"modified":"2011-02-10T16:11:22","modified_gmt":"2011-02-10T21:11:22","slug":"pac-10-showdown-oregon-ducks-at-ucla-bruins","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/pac-10-showdown-oregon-ducks-at-ucla-bruins-13278\/","title":{"rendered":"Pac-10 Showdown: Oregon Ducks at UCLA Bruins"},"content":{"rendered":"

Oregon Ducks AT UCLA Bruins
\nFeb 10, 2011 at 10:30 PM EST
\nOpening Line:\u00a0 UCLA -9
\nCurrent Line: UCLA -9
\nOpening Total:\u00a0 135.5
\nCurrent Total: 136.5
\nOpening Moneyline:\u00a0 UCLA -450 \/ Ore +370
\nCurrent Moneyline:\u00a0 UCLA -500 \/ Ore +350<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"
Malcolm Lee and the UCLA Bruins are 9 point favorites over Pac-10 division rival Oregon<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Tonight’s Pac-10 matchup features two teams that are both hot.\u00a0 Oregon, despite being only 1 game above .500, has won 5 of their last 7 games and are 5-6 in the Pac-10 for 6th place.\u00a0 UCLA has won 7 of their last 8 to pull to 16-7 overall and with a 7-3 record in the Pac-10, they are in second in the conference.\u00a0 Yet, despite UCLA’s dominant record, they don’t have a very high point differential.\u00a0 It is +4.2.\u00a0 Only 5 of their 15 wins were by double digits; the rest for the most part were very close games, so that accounts for why a +4.2 point differential can obtain a 16-7 record.\u00a0 Oregon, despite their losing record, is positive as well, at +1.6.\u00a0 Both teams score roughly the same (Ore 70.3 vs UCLA 71.4) and give up roughly the same (Ore 68.7 vs UCLA 67.3).<\/p>\n

UCLA received 9 votes in the coaches’ poll for rankings and received none at all in the AP top 25.\u00a0 Their 16-7 record is better than several of the ranked teams, but due to the strength of their schedule they are not being regarded as a top 25 team.\u00a0 Oregon will be yet another mediocre opponent and they only face one ranked team between now and March Madness (they play #16 Arizona on February 26th).<\/p>\n

Some betting trends:<\/p>\n

Oregon is 6-19 SU in their last 25 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on the road against UCLA.\u00a0 Oregon is 1-6 SU in their last 7 road games against UCLA and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon’s last 6 games on the road at UCLA.<\/p>\n

UCLA is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games and the total has gone UNDER In 7 of UCLA’s last 10 games.\u00a0 UCLA is 10-1 SU in their last 11 home games and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA’s last 5 games at home.\u00a0 UCLA is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 against the Ducks and they are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games against Oregon.\u00a0 UCLA is 6-1 SU in their last 7 home games against Oregon.<\/p>\n

Oregon is led by 6’6″ senior forward Joevan Catron.\u00a0 Catron averages 16.0 points per game 6.7 rebounds per game and 1.0 steals.\u00a0 He’s a poor three point shooter (28%) but has only attempted 25 threes in Oregon’s 23 games.\u00a0 He has scored in double figures in 19 of their 23 games and has scored more than 20 seven times.\u00a0 His best outing of the season came in a 75-72 loss to San Jose State when he scored 25 points and grabbed 9 rebounds.\u00a0 He’s averaging 18.5 points per game over his last 4 games, 3 of which Oregon has won.\u00a0 They are 2-2 in the games in which he failed to reach double figures, but it isn’t because they have a strong supporting cast.\u00a0 They have only one other scorer in double figures, 6’6″ sophomore forward E.J. Singler.\u00a0 Singler averages 11.2 points per game and 5.7 boards.\u00a0 He plays slightly more minutes than Catron and is really the only other viable threat to speak of on the Oregon roster.\u00a0 No player on Oregon plays more than 30 minutes a game and their rotation goes 9 deep.\u00a0 Catron and Singler will have to have big games for Oregon to have any chance at covering the spread; they simply don’t have any other effective weapons offensively.<\/p>\n

All five UCLA starters score in double figures.\u00a0 They are led by Reeves Nelson, a 6’8″ sophomore\u00a0 forward who averages 14.1 points per game and 8.8 rebounds per game.\u00a0 He’s had 12 double doubles and has recorded a double double in UCLA’s last 6 games.\u00a0 They are 8-4 in games which Nelson has a double double and his best game of the year came in a 57-44 win over Pacific, when he scored 21 points and grabbed 14 rebounds (13 defensive).\u00a0 Backing up Nelson is the duo of Malcolm Lee and Tyler Honeycutt.\u00a0\u00a0 Lee and Honeycutt both average 13 points per game and UCLA’s starting five accounts for 61.4 points, 86% of their offense.\u00a0 No bench players on UCLA make any real viable contributions.\u00a0 Oregon doesn’t have the depth to exploit this, however, so expect UCLA’s starters to log their typical number of minutes since Oregon can’t press or apply extra pressure to wear down the UCLA guards.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Oregon Ducks AT UCLA Bruins Feb 10, 2011 at 10:30 PM EST Opening Line:\u00a0 UCLA -9 Current Line: UCLA -9 Opening Total:\u00a0 135.5 Current Total: 136.5 Opening Moneyline:\u00a0 UCLA -450 \/ Ore +370 Current Moneyline:\u00a0 UCLA -500 \/ Ore +350 Tonight’s Pac-10 matchup features two teams that are both hot.\u00a0 Oregon, despite being only 1 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40250,"featured_media":9755,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,1444],"tags":[4477,4476],"class_list":["post-13278","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-basketball","category-headlines","tag-oregon-ducks-basketball","tag-ucla-bruins-basketball"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13278","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40250"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13278"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13278\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13280,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13278\/revisions\/13280"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9755"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13278"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13278"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13278"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}