{"id":13250,"date":"2011-02-09T19:37:19","date_gmt":"2011-02-10T00:37:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/?p=13250"},"modified":"2011-02-09T19:37:19","modified_gmt":"2011-02-10T00:37:19","slug":"ncaa-mens-basketball-winning-picks-byu-at-air-force","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/ncaa-mens-basketball-winning-picks-byu-at-air-force-13250\/","title":{"rendered":"NCAA Men’s Basketball Winning Picks: BYU at Air Force"},"content":{"rendered":"

Brigham Young University Cougars at Air Force Falcons
\nFeb 9, 2011 at 10 PM EST
\nOpening Line:\u00a0 BYU -10.5
\nCurrent Line:\u00a0 BYU -10.0
\nOpening Total: 138.5
\nCurrent Total: 138.5
\nOpening Moneyline:\u00a0 BYU -550 \/ AF +450
\nCurrent Moneyline:\u00a0 BYU -625 \/ AF +475<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"
Fredette and the Cougars are favored by 10 tonight against the Air Force<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Jimmer Fredette has his lowest scoring average against any conference opponent against the Air Force.\u00a0 Good defense?\u00a0 Unlikely.\u00a0 The Cougars are winning by an average of 17.9 points per game against the Air Force during Fredette’s tenure as a Cougar and there’s really no reason to expect much to be different tonight.\u00a0 Fredette just became the all time Mountain West Conference leading scorer, but may not extend that lead by much given the fact that he’ll probably get some rest tonight as the reserves get more burn in what should be a blowout.<\/p>\n

Last game between the teams, Fredette scored 22, which is below his season average, but it was still enough for the Cougars to win by 10.\u00a0 “Jimmer is just uncanny,” Air Force coach Jeff Reynolds said. “You can play him tough and he still gets his points. The minute you relax on him he makes shots. He is just a terrific player.”<\/p>\n

Some betting trends:<\/p>\n

BYU is 6-1 SU in their last 7 road games and the total has gone OVER In 5 of their last 6 on the road.\u00a0 BYU is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road against the Air Force.<\/p>\n

The Air Force is 8-2 SU in their last 10 home games and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 against BYU.\u00a0 The Air Force is 0-5 SU in their last 5 against the Cougars and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against BYU.\u00a0 The Air Force is 1-4 SU in their last 5 home games against BYU, as well.<\/p>\n

The Air Force Falcons are led by the duo of Michael Lyons and Tom Fow, who combine for 25.2 points per game (38% of the Falcons’ total offensive output).\u00a0 Lyons, a 6’6″ sophomore shooting guard, is averaging 12.7 points per game to lead the Falcons.\u00a0 He’s also contributing 2.1 assists per game and 3.8 boards.\u00a0 He’s scored in double figures in 13 of the 21 games in which he has played but has scored just 13 points over the last two games (a 5 point win over Utah and a 14 point loss to New Mexico).\u00a0 The Air Force is going to need Lyons to return to form tonight to have any chance against the BYU Cougars.\u00a0 If he could play the way he played against Utah on January 5th, they shouldn’t have much of a problem.\u00a0 That night, he put up 26 against the Utes in an 8 point Air Force victory.\u00a0 6’4″ senior point guard Evan Washington leads the Falcons in minutes played with 32.5 minutes a game.\u00a0 He puts up a good all around statline of 7.8 points per game, 4.0 apg, 4.6 rpg.\u00a0 Over the last four games, however, he is only averaging 4.0 points per game.\u00a0 While the Falcons don’t ordinarily depend on Washington to score, they’re going to need some kind of scoring contribution on his part to win tonight, given the fact that to beat BYU they will need the very best of every player on their team.<\/p>\n

BYU, as most know, are led by Jimmer Fredette, but beyond Fredette they have some good players, as well.\u00a0 They’re not a one man team, as many try to accuse them of being.\u00a0 The trio Jackson Emery, Brandon Davies, and Noah Hartsock combine for 33 points and the Cougars employ an 8 man rotation.\u00a0 Emery, a 6’3″ senior guard, the backcourt mate of Fredette, is averging 12.4 points per game and 2.5 assists per game while shooting 37.7% from behind the arc (63 of 167).\u00a0 He’s scored in double figures in 16 of the 24 Cougars’ games and has had four games with 20+.\u00a0 If BYU is to advance deep in March, it might not necessarily be Fredette that is the reason why.\u00a0 Emery stepping up would give the Cougars a tough backcourt to deal with and could make the difference against the other top teams in the country.\u00a0 Emery and Fredette’s shooting could be enough to take BYU to the Final 4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Brigham Young University Cougars at Air Force Falcons Feb 9, 2011 at 10 PM EST Opening Line:\u00a0 BYU -10.5 Current Line:\u00a0 BYU -10.0 Opening Total: 138.5 Current Total: 138.5 Opening Moneyline:\u00a0 BYU -550 \/ AF +450 Current Moneyline:\u00a0 BYU -625 \/ AF +475 Jimmer Fredette has his lowest scoring average against any conference opponent against […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40250,"featured_media":9813,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,1444],"tags":[2490,434,4100],"class_list":["post-13250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-basketball","category-headlines","tag-air-force-falcons","tag-byu-cougars","tag-jimmer-fredette"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40250"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13250"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13250\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13252,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13250\/revisions\/13252"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9813"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.madduxsports.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}