UFC 153 Betting Preview Predictions — Part II

Chris Camozzi is the least likely favorite to win.
Here’s a look at the other three fights I feel are of great betting interest and/or are particularly exciting.

Erick Silva (-140) vs. Jon Fitch (+110)
10:15 PM EST, FX

Jon Fitch should be able to score an upset here. He was the second best welterweight in the world at one point, and no one disputed that fact. He lost to an top class fighter in Johny Hendricks, and that seemed to be the last we heard about Fitch. Erick Silva is a skilled fighter, and he’s improved his defense and conditioning in recent times. He was good at evading takedowns against Charlie Brenneman, but conditioning remains a bit of a question mark even still. If Fitch can make it past the early assault of Silva, he should be able to win in the later rounds.

Joey Gambino (+150) vs. Diego Brandao (-180)
8:15 PM EST, FX

Joey Gambino could pull an upset just like Fitch. Diego Brandao doesn’t have the best endurance and he fell apart in the second round of his fight against Darren Elkins. Featherweights don’t really have an excuse to do things like that. Brandao has lost 8 of 22 fights due to lack of conditioning, and if he isn’t able to end this early, I don’t like his chances much at at all. Gambino will score most of the points as the fight wears on, and that’s if he doesn’t find an excellent chance to submit Brandao first.

Chris Camozzi (+110) vs. Luiz Cane (-140)
6:30 PM EST, Facebook TV

Chris Camozzi is 4-2 in his last six fights but that record could easily be as poor as 1-5. He snuck away with two split decisions and won by a medical stoppage against Nick Catone in a fight he wasn’t really winning to begin with. His only undisputed victory came against Dustin Jacoby via guillotine choke. Camozzi isn’t as good as he is overrated, and Luiz Cane should just take advantage of this opportunity to pound him with strikes, rack up points, and propel his career further against a fighter that is no where near as good as people have billed him to be.

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