Some times, you need to look at the history between teams when looking at totals. The tempo and familiarity between teams can play a factor in the scoring.  A prime example of this is the Baltimore-Pittsburgh matchup. The knee-jerk reaction is that this is an automatic under at 34 ½.  But over the past two years, the over is 3-1-1 in head-to-head meetings. You wouldn’t think that. This season, the Ravens average 14.7 points, while giving up 13.7. The Ravens average 302 yards total offense, while giving up 244 yards on defense. The Steelers average 24 points and 289 yards total offense, while their defense has given up an average of 11 points a game and 279 total yards. Both teams have gone over only once in three games. With a number so low, just one or two turnovers or a special teams play and it is suddenly an over.

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