PGA Tour Betting: 2012 Deutsche Bank Championship Value Picks and Predictions

Luke Donald is among the favorites at 14/1 and makes a great pick this year.
The Deutsche Bank Championship tees off from Norton, Massachusetts this week and is one of the two events on the PGA tour to begin on a Friday this year. The first round play begins Friday morning and TCP Boston will host the championship. The par for the course is 71, and it is 7,214 yards in length. It’s been the home of the tournament since 2003.

US Open Winner Webb Simpson will defend his 2011 championship, and is at 33/1 odds, which may seem high, but given his play since the US open, it seems unlikely he’s a value even at those odds. Let’s look at a few of the better value picks:

Betting odds are taken from Bovada

Luke Donald (14/1)

Donald is one of the favorites and he’s been good on this course. He was in the top three two years ago at TPC Boston. Last week, Donald finished tied for 10th and it was his seventh top 10 on the tour this year. He hasn’t made a lot of noise on American courses of late, but still makes a good pick if you want to go with a favorite.

Bubba Watson (25/1)

Watson finished tied for 10th last week, and had an off week at that. He’s leading the PGA tour in Greens in regulation and is 6th in birdie average. This course is taylor made for Watson’s game and at 25/1 odds, I think you’re looking at a great pick to win it. Last year, he shot a stellar 64.

Brandt Snedeker (25/1)

Snedeker has a good putting game for this type of course and looked great last week with a 2nd place finish. He ranks 1st in strokes gained putting and is also 6th in birdie average. He finished tied for 5th and 3rd, in the last two Duetsche Bank championship events.

Jason Day (40/1)

Day is a great birdie maker and this is a good course to be that type of golfer on. He finished 3rd and 2nd each of the last two years. He ended up with a 66 last week and his putt game will be good, as he ranks 2nd in putting from 15 to 20 feet. The slick greens will suit his putting game well, too.

Matt Kuchar (50/1)

Kuchar has eight top 10 finishes this season and finished in the top 25 in the lat three Deutsche Bank Championships. Those facts alone make Kuchar a great value pick here, possibly the best of the longer shots.

Geoff Ogilvy (50/1)

Ogivly is a great putter on fast greens, so he should have his putting game on this tournament. He had a -7 through 12 holes in 2010 and then ended up finishing 2nd to Charlie Hoffman. He was 7th in 2009 and this course is just one that he will play well on. Well enough? I like him at 50/1 odds and in his last four events, he hasn’t finished outside the top 25, which is impressive considering the strength of the field in those events.

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