NFL On CBS Picks: NY Jets at Seattle Seahawks

New York Jets at Seattle

Time: 3 PM EST, CBS

Spread: SEA -15

Total: 47

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Seattle Seahawks are 8-4 and trail the LA Rams by one-half game for the NFC West lead. The Seahawks host the struggling New York Jets as heavy 15-point favorites in NFL action on CBS Sunday. The game will kick off at 3 PM (EST) and it has the over-under set at 47 total points according to NFL oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

SEA

The Seahawks fell 12-17 last week to the New York Giants. It won the two weeks prior back-to-back against the Arizona Cardinals and Philadelphia Eagles.

Seattle ranks No. 7 in passing yards and No. 13 in rushing. Overall,  its offense generates 29.3 points per game and ranks No. 4 in the NFL. With a defense that is slightly below average, the Seahawks have a point differential of +3.5 points, given that the defense is surrendering 26.8 per game and in the bottom-third of units.

Russell Wilson has put together another fantastic season so far, with his 3,479 yards on a 70 percent passing ratio. He has 32 touchdowns with 11 interceptions and he boasts one of the best passer ratings at 107.6. Beyond that, Wilson ranks No. 2 in rushing yardage and leads the team in yards-per-carry with 6.2 per attempt. Chris Carson is the lead running back with 87 carries for 429 yards and four touchdowns. Carlos Hyde has been more of a third-down back with 62 rushes for 227 yards while ranking No. 3 in first downs with 16. DeeJay Dallas has been mediocre with just 3.4 yards-per-carry on his 30 attempts, but he adds depth.

Wilson’s top passing target has been DJ Metcalf. He has 1,119 yards with nine touchdowns and 50 first downs, all of which lead the Seahawks. Tyler Lockett is No. 2 with 834 yards and eight touchdowns. Seattle has scored 32 receiving touchdowns this season with just 11 coming via the rush. Wilson may up that figure with some QB sneaks later, though, given that teams are expecting Seattle to pass nearly every time in the red zone.

NYJ

The New York Jets remain winless at 0-12. Obviously, little has gone well for it in this 2020 season, and it ranks near the bottom in all major statistical categories. The Jets are No. 31 in passing yardage, No. 19 in rushing, and have the third-worst offense at just 15 points per game. It gives up nearly twice as many, with the third-worst defense, surrendering 29.4 points per game and possessing a differential of -14.4 points.

The Jets do not really have many silver linings. Sam Darnold has struggled mightily, evidenced by his 67.2 passer rating. He has thrown just 58 percent for completion, averages under six -yards-per-completion, and has thrown nine picks to just five touchdowns. Beyond that, he has been sacked over three times per game, and he has lost 164 yards on those plays. Darnold somehow averages 7.5 yards-per-attempt rushing, but he has attempted just 23 carries this season.

Lead running back Frank Gore is under four yards-per-carry, as are all other major options except Ty Johnson whose 5.5 yards-per-carry trail only Darnold. Four receivers tally 256 yards or more, and the top three all average 12 yards-per-catch or better, but the Jets really have a lot of work to do on both ends of the football and are about to fall to 0-13 it seems with Seattle being favored by 2-plus touchdowns. While there is certainly some talent on the roster, it does not fit together that well and the offensive line has been weak the entire season.

It is a recipe for “poor football,” and the Jets really need to add a lot of talent and playmakers to both ends of the football. Overall, it is facing a contending team and indisputably the worst team in football, so combining those two factors makes this game quite unlikely to be close, but if the Jets can lose by less than 10 points, covering the spread, it might feel even like a miracle given the 15-point spread set by NFL oddsmakers.

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