2014 Wimbledon Gentleman’s Tennis Championship
All-England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club – Wimbledon, England
Playing Surface: Grass
Monday, June 23-Sunday, July 6, 2014, TV: ESPN2, Tennis Channel
Defending Champion: Andy Murray
All odds courtesy of Bovada

Since 2004, Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray have won all but 2 of the 42 majors contested in that span. No surprise that the talented quartet have the lowest odds to win the 2014 edition of Wimbledon.

Let’s take a look at those four and a couple other contenders with their odds to win both the section of the draw (make the semifinals) and win the tournament with odds courtesy of Bovada.

Novak Djokovic (-275 section, +175 Wimbledon)

Novak Djokovic is 27 from Serbia. He has six major titles, including a Wimbledon title in 2011. He lost to Andy Murray in the final here last year. Djokovic is 30-4 this season with titles at Rome, Miami, and Indian Wells. He lost in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open this year to eventual champion Stanislas Wawrinka. Djokovic had won the Australian Open 3 straight times before this year. It broke a string of 14 straight majors of at least making the semifinals for Djokovic. Djokovic lost in the Final of the French Open earlier this month to Rafael Nadal.

Despite being the #2 ranked player in the world behind Nadal, Djokovic is the #1 seed at Wimbledon. Seeded players in his section include #31 Vasik Pospisil, #17 Mikhail Youzhny, #14 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, #12 Ernests Gulbis, #18 Fernando Verdasco, #26 Marin Cilic, and #6 Tomas Berdych. The section isn’t too challenging, but Tsonga, Gulbis and Berdych could provide tough matches. Potential semifinal opponents include Andy Murray, Grigor Dmitrov and David Ferrer. Murray would be the toughest of those opponents. I think Djokovic wins his second Wimbledon titles.

Andy Murray (-250 section, +350 Wimbledon)

Murray, 27 from Scotland, has won two majors in his career including at Wimbledon last year. He became the first British man to win Wimbledon since before World War II. Murray was upset in the quarters at the Australian Open this season and lost to Nadal in the semifinals at the French Open. Murray is 27-11 this season with no titles or runner-ups.

Murray is the #3 seed. Seeded players in his section include #27 Roberto Bautista Agut, #20 Kevin Anderson, #16 Fabio Fognini, #11 Grigor Dmitrov, #21 Alexandr Dolgopolov, #25 Andreas Seppi, and #7 David Ferrer. Dmitrov or Ferrer could provide a tough challenge in the quarters, but it looks like a rematch with Djokovic in the semifinals.

Rafael Nadal (-110 Section, +400 Wimbledon)

Nadal is 28 from Spain. He has 14 major titles, which is tied for second all time behind Roger Federer. Nine of those have come in the French Open, including his fifth straight this season. He was the runner up at  He has two Wimbledon titles in 2008 and 2010 along with three runner ups. In the last two years he hasn’t made it out for the second round though including a first round exit last year.

Nadal is the two seed at Wimbledon.Seeded players in his section include #8 Milos Raonic, #28 Guillermo Garcia-Lopez, #22 Philipp Kohlschreiber, #10 Kei Nishikori, #13 Richard Gasquet, #29 Gael Monfils, and #29 Ivo Karlovic. On paper, Raonic and Nishikori should provide the biggest challenge but Nadal had gone out early in the last two years here. Potential semifinal opponents include Roger Federer, Stanislas Wawrinka and John Isner.

Roger Federer (-150 Section, +550 Wimbledon)

Federer, 32 from Switzerland, is in the twilight of a brilliant career that includes 17 major titles. He has 7 Wimbledon titles, the last in 2012. He lost in the semifinals at the Australian Open this year and the in the fourth round at the French Open. Federer is 34-7 this year with titles at Dubai and Halle. He also has three runner ups at Monte Carlo, Indian Wells and Brisbane.

Federer is the #4 seed at Wimbledon. Other seeded players in his section include #30 Marcel Granollers, #23 Tommy Robredo, #15 Jerzy Janowicz, #9 John Isner, #19 Feliciano Lopez, #32 Dmitry Tursunov, and #5 Stanislas Wawrinka. Federer loves the grass at Wimbledon, and it is still his best surface. I am not sure if he can beat the other three in the fab four even on grass, but I think he can make at least the semifinals.

Grigor Dmitrov (+450 section, +2000 Wimbledon)

Dmitrov is 23 from Bulgaria. He advanced to the quarterfinals at the Australian Open this season but has never made it past the third round at any other major. He lost in the first round at the French Open. He has lost in the second round at Wimbledon in the last 3 years. Dmitrov is 30-9 with titles at Queen’s Club on grass last week, Bucharest, and Acapulco.

Dmitrov is the #11 seed and is in the same section as Murray and Ferrer. He has a good shot of at least reaching the quarters, but I don’t know if is ready to beat Murray yet.

Stanislas Wawrinka (+350 section, +2000 Wimbledon)

Wawrinka, 29 from Switzerland, won his first grand slam title in January at the Australian Open. He was only the second player not named Nadal, Federer, Djokovic or Murray to win a major since 2004. He lost in the first round at the French Open. He has never made it past the fourth round at Wimbledon, and has lost in the first round in 3 of the last 4 seasons.  Wawrinka is 24-7 this season with additional titles at Monte Carlo on clay and Chennai.

Wawrinka is the #3 ranked player in the world but is the #5 seed here because of his poor play at Wimbledon thus far in his career. He is in Federer’s section of the draw. I see another early exit for Wawrinka.

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