2011 PGA Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Odds and Predictions

2011 PGA Waste Management Phoenix Open, TPC Scottsdale, Scottsdale, AZ
Thursday, February 3, 2011-Sunday, February 6, 2011, TV: Golf Channel, CBS
Defending Champion: Hunter Mahan

phil mickelson tour championship betting
Phil Mickelson is the favorite at this weekend's PGA Waste Management Phoenix Open.

The PGA makes it’s annual stop in Scottsdale this week. The Phoenix Open is traditionally one of the most fan-friendly events on tour, It usually attracts a more raucous crown than normal. This could be because it usually falls on Super Bowl weekend, and people are perhaps in a celebratory mood. The Phoenix Open has been played at the TPC Scottsdale course since 1987. Scottsdale isn’t a very tough course as it was only ranked as the 38th most difficult course on tour in 2010. The par 71 course has played at 7,216 yards since 2004, 18 yards shorter than it’s original length. It was shortened by almost 300 yards at one point, and gradually lengthened to its current distance. The most difficult hole is the 11th, a 469 yard, par 4 monstrosity. It is bounded by a lake on the entire left side of the hole and the hole is protected by a large bunker in the left front of the green, and a hidden bunker behind the green. It gave up only 1 eagle, 50 birdies, 273 pars, 102 bogeys, and 17 double bogeys. The easiest hole is the 13th, which is a 595 yard par 5. It has a split fairway. If you go to the right it is a little bit of a gamble because the fairway is narrower, but it does cut 50 yards of your approach to the green. More conservative players will go left, but the green is certainly reachable in 2. The whole gave up 17 eagles, 191 birdies, 203 pars, 26 bogeys and 6 double bogeys in 2010.

Here are a list of some of the contenders and their odds to win the tournament courtesy of bodog. I will also include some props I like for the tournament.

1. Phil Mickelson (7/1) Mickelson made his season debut last week at Torrey Pines. He finished second to Bubba Watson by one shot. Mickelson loves this TPC Scottsdale course. He has two wins, the last in 2005 and 9 top tens at this course. Mickelson played college golf at nearby Arizona St, so he is very familiar with this course. In 2005, en route to winning, he tied for the course record with a 60 in the second round. You can really never go wrong with betting Phil Mickelson, especially at this course. However you can get better value betting Mickelson to finish in the top 10 at -160 or to beat Dustin Johnson head-to-head at -140. Mickelson will certainly be in contention at the end of the weekend.

2. Dustin Johnson (11/1) Johnson is making his second career start at his course. His long hitting style is perfectly suited to this course. He has 2 top ten finishes in four events so far this year, and he only played in two events so far. He is ranked 5th driving distance, 18th in fairways, 4th in greens in regulation, and 11th in putting on tour. I think he has a good shot at winning but I think a topĀ  ten finish is a better bet at -115.

3. Nick Watney (18/1) Watney finished tied for 6th last week at the Farmer’s Insurance at Torrey Pines. He has played here 6 times and made the cut 5 times. He finished in the top 25 the last two years. Like Johnson his game is well-suited for this course. i don’t hink Watney will win, but he could contend. You can get him at +150 to finish in the top 10 or -120 head to head against Rickie Fowler. Those are better options than for him to win.

4. Rickie Fowler (20/1) Fowler struggled last week, shooting 73 and 74 on the weekend. He finished second here last year to Hunter Mahan by a single shot. He can definitely hit the ball a long way and that benefits him at this course. I don’t know if he will contend with such a deep field this week.

5. Bubba Watson (28/1) Watson won last week at Torrey Pines. He missed the cut the week before at the Bob Hope. He is another long hitter and I think he can contend here. He is +250 to finish in the top ten which is worth a play. You can also get him at -115 head to head against Bill Haas.

6. Jhonattan Vegas (33/1) The rookie sensation from Venezuala has a win and a top five in the last 2 weeks. He leads the PGA tour money list and the FedEx Cup standings. He has played 10 straight rounds in the 60’s. He is a good darkĀ  horse pick at 33/1. His odds are so high only because he is a rookie and has never played this course.

Any of those six can win this week. It is too easy to pick Mickelson so I will go with the rookie Vegas.

Here are some of the other contenders and their odds. Past winners of the event include: Hunter Mahan (22/1), J.B. Holmes (35/1), Mark Calcavecchia, (isn’t listed. field wager is 5/1), Rocco Mediate (field), Kenny Perry (125/1), Aaron Baddeley (125/1), Chris DiMarco (field), and Tom Lehman (125/1). Other notable players are Anthony Kim (22/1), Bill Haas (28/1), Geoff Ogilvy (33/1), Ben Crane (35/1), Jonathan Byrd (40/1), Brian Gay (40/1), Charles Howell III (33/1), Camillo Villegas (40/1), Robert Allenby (50/1), Vijay Singh (66/1), Justin Leonard (80/1), and Fred Coubles (125/1).

Share This Post

The information contained at this site is for entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of any state, federal, or local laws is prohibited.
Copyright © MadduxSports.com - Premier Sports Picks and Sports Odds Web site