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NBA Playoff Betting Articles

Using Regular Season Results To Handicap the NBA Finals

When two teams meet in the NBA Finals it isn’t the first time that they have faced each other all year. They are in different conferences, but NBA teams from those conferences have still played a pair of regular season games – one in each of their home arenas. Sports bettors can learn a lot by looking back at what happened in those games. They need to be careful though – it can be easy to give the outcomes of […]

Unexpected Blowout Win By Underdog in NBA Playoffs

It seems like there is always a very surprising upset win by a serious underdog in each round of the NBA playoffs. Sometimes there is more than one. For NBA bettors these games are hard to figure out. Will the win give the underdog confidence and momentum going forward, or will it motivate the favorite and strengthen their focus? Is the result a sign of bigger issues, or just a result of circumstances? In short, should you trust the favorite […]

One NBA Conference Stronger Than Other

The NBA can never seem to achieve balance between their two conferences. As we head towards the NBA finals each year there always seems to be one conference that is significantly stronger than the other. Of course, it would be easy if it was always the same conference, but that is not the case. When one conference seems to have a clear edge we have five factors for sports bettors to consider helping guide their decision making process in the […]

Misinterpreted Factors When Handicapping NBA Finals

Once the NBA Finals are set sports handicappers scramble to figure out how the teams match up, who has the edge and where the value is in futures bets and individual game lines. For serious NBA bettors this means looking back at every aspect of both teams that led to them getting where they are. This is a valuable process, but it can be easy for bettors to get misled by what they see if they aren’t careful and thoughtful. […]

Immediate NBA Finals Pairing Analysis

As soon as the pairing for the NBA Finals is known there is a rush for handicappers. There are futures bets to be made, and lines to be bet before the betting public unleashes on them. To take maximum advantage handicappers need to quickly get a sense of what the matchup means and how the series could turn out. Here are seven factors to consider to quickly get a sense of the impending series from a betting perspective: Style of […]

How to Handicap NBA Teams Down 0-2 in the Playoffs

The last thing an NBA team wants when they start a playoff series is to lose the first two games. That puts them into a hole that can be difficult to recover. An 0-2 deficit is not the end of the line, and many good basketball teams have found themselves finding such a challenge and overcoming it, but it certainly isn’t ideal. Some NBA teams use the setback as a real motivating factor. Other teams get frustrated or scared and […]

Handicapping the NBA Playoffs

The NBA playoffs go on forever, which means that sports bettors have ample opportunity to place bets and make a lot of cash as a total of 16 teams battle for the championship. If you’re thinking that handicapping the playoffs is the same as handicapping the regular NBA season, you’re wrong. The playoffs create their own unique season and offer some major challenges to sports bettors, including point spreads that are tougher to beat, over/unders that are difficult to assess […]

Finding Playoff Teams Ready To Quit, Using 2011 Lakers As An Example

The demise of the Los Angeles Lakers in the 2011 NBA playoffs is one of the most interesting case studies the NBA has provided in years. If you need a refresher, they entered the playoffs as the two-time defending champions, but things did not go well. They had far more trouble than they should have in the first round, and then were swept by Dallas in the second round. To say they were swept doesn’t do justice to how badly […]

Finding High Playoff Seeds That Could Be Vulnerable

The high seeds in the NBA playoffs are very dominant. For example, a number one seed has lost to a number eight just three times in NBA history. A sixth seed, the 1995 Houston Rockets, are the lowest seed ever to win it all. Generally there are a few teams each year that are clearly above the rest of the league, and those are the teams that are going to contend for the title – and typically cruise through their […]

Finding Value On Favorites In NBA Playoff Series Bets

Absolutely anything can happen in sports. Any bettor who has ever taken an outcome for granted knows how true that is. In the first round of the NBA playoffs, though, there are some teams that are as close to unbeatable as is possible in sports. Not every top seed is sure to roll over a bottom seed – three number eight seeds have won their series – but there are many cases in which there has been nothing more than […]

Importance Of Momentum Heading Into the NBA Playoffs

I don’t really believe in momentum. NBA teams definitely can win multiple games, and it seems that wins can lead to more wins, but pointing at momentum as the cause for that is lazy. There are all sorts of factors that can lead to a winning streak – increased confidence, good health, an easy schedule, and luck among them. To put too much faith in momentum is to believe too strongly that what has happened in the past has a […]

Mistakes Bettors Make When Betting the NBA Playoffs

The NBA playoffs have arrived. Each year they bring two glorious months of brilliantly intense basketball action to bettors around the world. The NBA playoffs are great to bet on. They are, though, quite different from the regular season in a lot of ways, and quite challenging if you aren’t prepared for them. Casual sports bettors who are drawn to the NBA playoffs because of the bright lights and the glamour can easily make mistakes that can cost them a […]

NBA Playoff Betting Advice For Casual Sports Bettors

When the NBA Playoffs get underway a slew of public money comes into sports betting marketplace. Casual bettors that haven’t placed a wager all season long view playoff betting as a chance to enhance their NBA playoff experience. While almost all know how the NBA point spread works, we get a handful of emails this time of year asking how betting on the NBA moneyline works. We will answer these questions as well as provide some tips for those casual […]

Mistakes That Gamblers Make Wagering on the NBA Finals

Any sports bettor will tell you wagering on the NBA Finals is tough. Both teams are obviously in top form after having beaten some good teams to get to where they are. The teams aren’t particularly familiar with each other because the schedule limits their interaction during the regular season. Both basketball teams probably have at least one superstar caliber player who is capable of leading his team to victory almost single-handedly. On top of all that, public attention is […]

Using Media Bias To Find Value in the NBA Playoffs

In the later rounds of the NBA playoffs it often seems as if the media has a clear bias – a strong lean towards one team in a series and against the other. If that media bias is strong, consistent and logical at least on the surface then it could have a strong impact on the betting public, and therefore on the betting lines and the value on the series. Dealing with these biases can be a challenge for handicappers, […]

Handicapping How Teams Respond Off Of A Playoff Overtime Game

It seems like every year in the NBA playoffs there are one or two games that turn into epic overtime battles – three or four periods of heart stopping thrill rides. Since overtime is so rare in the NBA, and so different than it is in other sports, it provides a bit of a challenge for sports handicappers. In hockey overtimes can go forever in the playoffs, and they are common enough that we are experienced dealing with them. Extra […]

Handicapping Teams Off A Blowout Loss in the Playoffs

In the NBA playoffs – especially but certainly not exclusively in the first round – we often see one-sided games. These are games in which one side looks like they forgot to show up for the game and they lose by a wide margin. They are incredibly dull games, and they can be very frustrating if you bet on the team that is MIA. For sports handicappers they also present a real challenge – how is the losing team going […]

How Wiseguys Get An Edge For Next Year After the NBA Finals End

When the NBA season ends a lot of basketball bettors just take a breath and then move on to their next sport to bet on. You are missing a big opportunity, though, if you don’t take a short time to look back at the past basketball season to see how it went, and to look forward to next season to see how it may turn out. By doing this before you put the season to bed you are going to […]

First Round NBA Playoff Betting Mistakes

The NBA playoffs can provide great drama and excellent betting opportunities. Because of that there are a lot of people who are very excited to see the playoffs arrive, and very eager to bet on the games once they are here. If you are too eager to jump in and bet the first round playoff games, though, you can make some simple but costly mistakes. Thankfully, these mistakes are easy to avoid if you are aware of them. Here are […]

NBA Playoffs Second Round Betting Strategy

Successful sports betting, including wagering on the second round of the NBA Playoffs, is all about noticing the things that will have an impact on the outcome of games and figuring out how to exploit them. Sometimes the differences between one situation and another can be subtle on the surface, but very significant to the tone of games and the way to bet on them. In the NBA playoffs on the surface there might not seem to be much of […]

How NBA Playoff Betting Differs From Regular Season

A lot of casual NBA bettors make a big mistake – they assume that betting on the NBA playoffs is just the same as betting on the regular season. That is true in some ways – the basketball team that scores the most points still wins, for example. There are some significant ways in which the playoffs are different, though, and those differences are particularly significant for bettors. Here are six of the biggest differences that can influence handicappers: Recurring […]

Common NBA Playoff Series Betting Mistakes

NBA series bets can be a great way for sports bettors to find value in the playoffs. If you aren’t careful, though, they can also be very costly. Here are four mistakes people make when making these bets. By avoiding them you significantly increase your chances at making a profit over the long term: Blindly backing favorites – The betting public has a well known bias – they tend to back the favorite blindly and enthusiastically. They think that the […]

Consider or Ignore Team Depth for NBA Playoff Bets?

Team depth, and the significance of it, is a tough concept for NBA bettors to deal with in the playoffs. Some basketball teams are obviously going to be deeper and more talented than others, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that they are going to be better suited for playoff success. In the NBA playoffs there are some situations in which depth is very significant, and others in which it’s really not. Here’s a look at both: Depth matters when… Injuries […]

Why Coaches Matter in NBA Playoff ATS Success

Coaches are very significant in the NBA, and never more significant than in the league playoffs. Being a coach in the NBA is a thankless task because of the attitude of the players and the lack of job security in most situations. For sports bettors, a good coach can be worth his weight in gold, and a bad or inconsistent coach can be costly and frustrating. Here are five tips to help bettors judge NBA coaches in the playoffs: Late-game […]

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