There are a variety of factors that come into play when betting on NCAA college basketball. Besides your basic statistics, home-court advantage, and scheduling, there is another aspect that can influence the outcome of a game significantly – the revenge factor. When you look at the latest odds to figure out which lines carry value and which ones you want to stay away from, make sure to take previous meetings between the two teams into account. The revenge factor doesn’t influence every second meeting, and sometime players don’t let previous performances influence them.
However, its important for college basketball handicappers to note that there are certain situations that determine whether the revenge factor comes into play:
1. Recent loss/bad beat
Players remember tough losses vividly. If a NCAA conference championship was on the line when the teams last met, or if the loss cost them a berth in the Big Dance, they will want revenge badly. The same is true for embarrassing losses or bad beats.
If your basketball team was losing and the opponent ran up the score in the last meeting, expect the players to look for revenge. If the teams fought a tough battle to the buzzer, expect the revenge factor to come into play.
Usually a more recent loss provokes the revenge factor more than a loss that happened in the previous season. So, when betting college basketball, look at same-season revenge more closely than at previous season losses.
This rule needs to be adjusted, if the loss in the previous season was especially bad or came at an important part of the season. A team that was eliminated from the conference tournament or lost their shot to play in the Tourney will be looking for revenge even if the next meeting isn’t scheduled until the following season.
When considering spreads, moneylines, and totals, always take these revenge situations into account.
2. Team Chemistry
Teams that have great chemistry usually do the best in revenge situations. The players can get in a rhythm and push each other to avenge the previous loss. One of the signature situations for the revenge factor to come into play is when a team comes off back-to-back losses and has a home game.
The top college basketball teams with good chemistry come into the game knowing that they have the talent to win the revenge game and turn their luck around. They want to avoid racking up a losing streak and are especially motivated looking for revenge. Because of their chemistry they won’t run into the trap of trying too hard and will unleash their revenge on their opponents.
Teams with less chemistry tend to falter when the losses start piling up. Once their conf-idence goes down, their lack of chemistry prevents them to come back and overcome their losing ways.
For those teams, the revenge factor comes into play in a different way. Towards the end of a losing season, those NCAA hoop teams will want revenge for the missed chances during the year. They will most likely exceed their expectations in a few instances at the end of the season. They usually do well on their last home game or senior night. They also do well when their coach is retiring. Another time when they usually play above their potential is when they play a superior team that has already clinched the Conference Title.
When wagering on NCAA College Basketball, look at the teams closely and try to find teams that could play above their potential because they are in one of the revenge situations.
When using the revenge factor to make your college basketball picks, always take talent into account. Your team can be looking for revenge all they want. They won’t succeed if they don’t have the necessary talent.
Look for motivated basketball teams that have at least a certain level of talent, so the revenge effort isn’t wasted without a realistic chance. Make sure your team is not out-classed. Your best bet is to look for a team that is less talented than the favorite, but has a good reason to want it more.
When betting on College Basketball, look for these situations to give you an advantage that you can use to beat the moneylines, spreads, and totals. Make sure to check out our list of favored online sportsbooks to enhance your college basketball online gambling experience.
We at Maddux Sports take into account the revenge factor as well as a variety of other factors that can change the outcome of a game. We cover all bases when we make our highly sought after expert college basketball picks.
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