Week 9 NFL Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Oakland Raiders
Philadelphia Eagles at Oakland Raiders
O.co Coliseum – Oakland, California
Sunday, November 3, 2013, 4:05 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
Opening Line: Oakland -2
Current Line: Oakland -1 1/2
Opening Total: 45
Current Total: 45
Opening Money Line: Raiders -140 / Eagles +120
Current Money Line: Raiders -120 / Eagles +100
The 3-4 Oakland Raiders are in last place in the AFC West as they host the 3-5 Philadelphia Eagles Sunday. Despite being two games under .500 the Eagles are only a game behind the Dallas Cowboys in the NFC East. Since 2001, the Raiders lead the series against the Eagles 2-1 including a 13-9 win in Oakland in 2009.
Philadelphia is coached by Chip Kelly. The Eagles have road wins at the Washington Redskins 33-27, New York Giants 36-21 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-20. Philadelphia has home losses to the San Diego Chargers 33-30, the Kansas City Chiefs 26-16, Dallas Cowboys 17-3, and last week against the New York Giants 15-7, along with a road win at the Denver Broncos 52-20. Strangely, the Eagles have lost 10 straight home games dating back to last season. Philadelphia is 3-5 ATS and the total is 5-3 this season. The Eagles were 5.5 point favorites at home against the Giants and the total was 49.
The Giants kicked 5 field goals of 46 yards and under to take a 15-0 lead against the Eagles late in the fourth. The Eagles finally got on the board with a 2 yard fumble return for a touchdown with 4:11 left in the game to make it 15-7. The Giants recovered the onside kick and ran down the clock to 27 seconds left. The last ditch effort by the Eagles ended with an interception by quarterback Matt Barkley, who replaced starter Michael Vick who left with a hamstring injury in the second quarter. The Eagles had 200 total yards including just 48 rushing yards. The Giants had 325 total yards including 237 passing. New York had 11 penalties for 92 yards and a turnover. Philadelphia had 3 turnovers and 4 penalties for 48 yards.
Philadelphia is being outscored 26-22 this season. The Eagles are #19 in scoring and #24 in points allowed in the NFL. Philadelphia is averaging 397.2 yards per game on offense including 246.9 passing and 150.4 rushing yards. The Eagles are #5 in total offense and #2 in rushing. On defense, Philadelphia is allowing 401.8 yards per game including 302.2 passing and 99.5 rushing yards. The Eagles are #30 in total defense and #31 against the pass. The run defense is #8 in the league though. Philadelphia is -1 in turnovers. The Eagles are 48/120 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 49/122. Philadelphia has forced 16 sacks and allowed 23 this season. The Eagles 2 defensive/special teams touchdowns and has allowed 4 this season. Philadelphia is averaging 56 penalty yards per game and opponents are averaging 72.
The Eagles have used three quarterbacks season, along with the Bills, Browns, Texans and Vikings. (It is no coincidence that those teams have a combined record of 12-26 this season.) Michael Vick started the season at quarterback but injured his hamstring a few games into the season. Nick Foles started some games , but suffered a concussion in the Dallas game. Vick came back too soon from his hamstring injury last week, and had to be replaced by Barkley, Barkley also replaced Foles in the Dallas game. Vick is out this week and Foles will start. Foles is officially listed as probable. Vick has completed 54.6% of his passes for 1,215 yards with 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, along with 34 carries for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has been sacked 15 times this season. Foles has completed 57.8% of his passes for 622 yards with 6 touchdowns and no picks, along with a rushing touchdown. He has been sacked 5 times this season. Barkley has thrown for 287 yards with 4 interceptions. He has been sacked 3 times this season.
Running back LeSean McCoy has 156 carries for 733 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with 25 catches for 284 yards. He is probable with an ankle injury. Bryce Brown will also get some carries. Chris Polk has a rushing touchdown and is probable with a shoulder injury. Receiver DeSean Jackson has 45 catches for 673 yards and 5 touchdowns. He is also probable with an ankle injury. Riley Cooper has 20 catches, 314 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jason Avant has 25 catches for 286 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Brent Celek has 14 catches for 214 yards and 2 touchdowns. Zach Ertz has 14 catches for 201 yards. Seven defensive players are listed on the injury report for the Eagles. Punter Donnie James is probable with a foot injury.
Oakland is coached by Dennis Allen. The Raiders have home wins over the Jacksonville Jaguars 19-9, the San Diego Chargers 27-17 and last week against the Pittsburgh Steelers 21-18. Oakland has road losses the the Indianapolis Colts 21-17, the Denver Broncos 37-21 and at the Kansas City Chiefs 24-7 along with a home loss to the Washington Redskins 24-14. Oakland had their bye last week. The Raiders are 4-2-1 ATS this season and the total is 1-6. Oakland was a 2.5 point underdog at home to Pittsburgh and the total was 40.
Oakland jumped out to a 14-0 first quarter lead against Pittsburgh. The Raiders scored their first touchdown on a 93 yard touchdown run on the first play of the game (after the kickoff) from quarterback Terrelle Pryor, the longest run from scrimmage by a quarterback in NFL history. Oakland would expand the lead to 21-3 at halftime. Neither team scored in the third quarter. Pittsburgh would pull to within 21-18 with 1:24 left in the fourth after a 2 yard touchdown run from Le’Veon Bell and a two point conversion. The Raiders recovered the onside kick. Pittsburgh got the ball back with 18 seconds at their own 5 yard line. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger completed a pass to the Steeler 36 but time expired. Oakland had 279 total yards including 197 rushing yards. Pittsburgh had 276 total yards including 241 passing yards. The Raiders had 3 turnovers and the Steelers had 2.
Oakland is being outscored 21-18 this season. Oakland is #12 in points allowed and #26 in scoring. The Raiders are averaging 314.9 total yards on offense including 176 passing and 138.9 rushing yards. The Raiders last in passing and #5 in rushing in the league. Oakland is #26 in total offense. On defense, the Raiders are allowing 330.9 yards per game including 241 passing and 89.9 rushing yards. Oakland is #10 in total defense and 6 against the run. Oakland is -1 in turnovers. The Raiders are 37/102 on third and fourth down conversions, and opponents are 36/96. Oakland has forced 21 sacks and allowed 29. The Raiders have one special teams touchdown along with a defensive touchdown and has allowed 2 defensive touchdowns. Oakland is averaging 30:39 time of possession. The Raiders average 54 penalty yards per game and opponents are averaging 33.
Quarterback Terrelle Pryor has completed 63.1% of his passes for 1,149 yards, with 5 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, along with 53 carries and 391 yards and a touchdown. He has been sacked 22 times this season. Pryor missed the game against the Redskins a few weeks ago with a concussion but played the last 3 games. Back-up quarterback Matt Flynn was released and signed with the Buffalo Bills. If something happens to Pryor, rookie Matthew McGloin from Penn State is the back-up.
Running back Darren McFadden has 93 carries, 340 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with 12 catches for 82 yards. He has even thrown a touchdown pass. Rashad Jennings has 36 carries for 140 yards, along with 12 catches for 97 yards. Fullback Marcel Reece has 12 carries for 57 yards and a touchdown along with 10 catches for 86 yards and a touchdown.
Receiver Denarius Moore has 27 catches, 437 yards and 4 touchdowns. Rod Streater has 23 catches, 319 yards and a touchdown. Mychal Rivera has 12 catches, 138 yards and a touchdown. Four offensive linemen are listed on the injury report along with two defensive players.
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in road games, 3-7 against teams with losing records, 7-18-1 after a straight up loss, and on grass, 6-17-1 overall, 6-19-1 after failing to cover, 1-4 after gaining less than 250 total yards, 1-5-1 after scoring less than 15 points, 0-4 in week 9, 0-7 after rushing for less than 90 yards, and 0-5 in November.
Oakland is 4-1 ATS at home, 3-1-1 after rushing for 150 yards or more, 5-2-1 overall, 3-8 against teams with losing road records, 2-6-1 after allowing 90 rushing yards or less, 1-6 in week 9, 1-7-1 after a cover, 0-3-1 after a straight up win, and 0-4 in November. The Raiders have covered the last 4 games against the Eagles.
Although Chip Kelly has a well deserved reputation as an offensive genius, the Eagles have only scored 10 points in the last two games with no offensive touchdowns. This is a direct result of the injuries to Vick and Foles. Oakland has been good at home in the Black Hole this year, but the Eagles play better on the road than at home. Still, I think the Raiders win a close low scoring game.