Week 4 NFL Betting Trends

Week 4 NFL Betting Trend Report
Here is the week 4 NFL Betting Trend Report
One of the big story lines for Week 4 of the NFL season is the Washington-Philadelphia match-up and the soap opera that is Donovan McNabb, Andy Reid and Michael Vick  But if you can get by the made-for-TV drama, there are some trends to consider when handicapping the game. The Eagles, a 5 ½-point home favorite, are 136-96 ATS (+30.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992. The over for the Eagles is 7-0 (+7.0 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. Eagles coach Andy Reid is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) against a team that allows more than 350 yards a game. The Redskins are 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992. The over for Washington is 6-0 (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Here are some trends for the rest of the NFL Week 4 games:

San Francisco at Atlanta (-6): The Falcons are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Falcons coach Mike Smith is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in the first half of the season. The 49ers are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off an upset loss as a road favorite since 1992. San Francisco coach Mike Singletary is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

New York Jets (-6) at Buffalo: The under for the Bills is 20-7 (+12.3 Units) after allowing 35 points or more last game since 1992. The under for the Jets is 19-7 (+11.3 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

Cincinnati (-3) at Cleveland: The Bengals are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. And, the Bengals are 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992. The Browns are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. The under for the Browns is 6-0 (+6.0 Units) off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons.

Detroit at Green Bay (-14): The Lions are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games after a loss by 14 or more points since 1992. The under for the Lions is 18-6 (+11.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992. The over for the Packers is 117-87 (+21.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992. And, the over for the Packers is is 30-16 (+12.4 Units) in home games off a road loss since 1992.

Indianapolis (-7) at Jacksonville: Colts coach Jim Caldwell is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins. Jacksonville coach Jack Del Rio is 22-33 ATS (-14.3 Units) after playing a game at home. The Colts are 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons. And, the Colts are 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 or more points since 1992.

Carolina at New Orleans (-13): The Panthers are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. The under for the Panthers is 38-22 (+13.8 Units) in October games since 1992. Carolina coach John Fox is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points. The Saints are 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games after playing a game at home since 1992. As a home favorite since 1992, the Saints are 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units). The over for Saints coach Sean Payton is 17-6 (+10.4 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games.

Chicago at New York Giants (-3): The under for the Bears is 9-2 (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Giants coach Tom Coughlin is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against NFC North division opponents. The over for the Giants is 11-2 (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Bears coach Lovie Smith is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games against a team that gains more than 7 yards per passing attempt.

Houston (-3) at Oakland: The over for Oakland coach Tom Cable is 6-0 (+6.0 Units) against an excellent ball control team that has 32 or more minutes a game of time possession. The under for Cable is 8-1 (+6.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3. The under for the Texans is 12-1 (+10.9 Units) after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1992. The over for Texans coach Gary Kubiak is 10-2 (+7.8 Units) after a loss by 14 or more points. Oakland is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (-2 ½): Baltimore coach John Harbaugh is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field. The Steelers are 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less since 1992. The over for Steelers coach Mike Tomlin is 6-0 (+6.0 Units) against a team that averages less than 3.5 rushing yards a carry.

Arizona at San Diego (-8 ½): The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons. Cardinals coach Ken Whisenhunt is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off 2 or more consecutive overs. The over for Whisenhunt is 19-9 (+9.1 Units) as an underdog. Chargers coach Norv Turner is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) against a team with poor ball control, that has .less than 28 minutes possession in all games he has coached since 1992. The over for Turner is 11-3 (+7.7 Units) in the first month of the season.

Seattle (-2) at St. Louis: The Seahawks are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a home win over the last 3 seasons. The over for Seattle is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) off an upset win as a home underdog since 1992. Seattle is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons. The Rams are 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Denver at Tennessee (-6 ½): The Broncos are 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after gaining 500 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. The over for the Broncos is 43-26 (+14.4 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. Titans coach Jeff Fisher is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7. The over for Fisher is 21-8 (+12.2 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game. And, the over for Fisher is 48-30 (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record.

New England (-1) at Miami: The under for Patriots coach Bill Belichick is 19-9 (+9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. Belichick is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) off a division game. Belichick is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus division opponents. He also is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games. The under for the Dolphins is 47-29 (+15.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992. Dolphins coach Tony Sparano is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games.

Share This Post

The information contained at this site is for entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of any state, federal, or local laws is prohibited.
Copyright © MadduxSports.com - Contact The Experts - Privacy Policy - Advertising Rates - Staff Bios - About Maddux Sports