Week 4 CFB Picks ATS: East Carolina Pirates at Virginia Tech Hokies

Zay Jones had 22 catches for 190 yards in East Carolina's Week 3 loss.

Zay Jones had 22 catches for 190 yards in East Carolina’s Week 3 loss.

East Carolina-Va Tech
Time: 12:30 PM ET
Spread: VT -13
Total: 57

Betting odds c/o 5dimes

Virginia Tech bounced back from a Week 2 loss to Tennessee by defeating Boston College 49-0 in Week 3. The Hokies improved to 2-1 on the season and will be 13-point favorites as it hosts East Carolina today at 12:30 Eastern Time.

The Hokies thoroughly dominated lowly BC last week with Jerod Evans throwing 16 of 23 for 253 yards and five TDs (though he did throw an interception) while the Hokies rushed for an additional 223 yards on 50 carries. Isaiah Ford had a big game with four catches for 91 yards and two TDs, and five Hokies receivers had at least two catches in the game.

Cam Phillips was No. 2 in receiving yards with 53 on a pair of catches, including a 36-yard haul. Marshawn Williams led the way rushing with 81 yards on 15 carries, and Evans had 48 on nine attempts. Brenden Motley ad Travon McMillan scored the pair of Hokies rushing TDs.

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Evans is a 6’4” junior who has thrown for 67.5 percent completions on 83 attempts this season. His passer rating is 174.4 and he has 10 TD passes with just last week’s interception to show for turnovers. He is averaging 3.7 yards per rush on 30 attempts this season and can make plays. The Hokies will look to Evans and Ford again this week in what should be an easy victory.

Ford caught for 1,164 yards and 11 TDs last season with a 15.5 yard per attempt average, and this year he is having similar success. The 6’2” junior wide receiver has been heavily featured all three seasons at VT, and this could be his best collegiate season yet.

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East Carolina lost 20-15 to South Carolina last week after having won in Weeks 1 and 2 over Western Carolina and NC State, respectively. Philip Nelson had a huge week in the loss, at least from a yardage and completion standpoint. He threw 58 passes, completing 44 for 400 yards, but he threw two interceptions and had just one TD while averaging only 6.9 yards per completion.

Chris Lammons and Jamarcus King had interceptions in the game for South Carolina.

The Pirates receivers did put up numbers, particularly Zay Jones. Jones had 22 catches for 190 yards, but though the Pirates caught 44 passes in the game only one reached the end zone, a TD catch by Devin Anderson (five receptions for 33 yards).

In the backfield, James Summers and Anthony Scott combined for 21 rushes and 119 yards and the Pirates averaged 3.6 yards per carry on its 33 rushing attempts. East Carolina generated 519 total yards but managed just one TD in the game. Kicker Davis Plowman hit 3 of 4 FGA including a 45-yarder to account for the other six points.

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ATS TRENDS

East Carolina
  • Pirates are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. ACC.
  • Pirates are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
  • Pirates are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
  • Pirates are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Pirates are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
  • Pirates are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Pirates are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Pirates are 8-21 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Pirates are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Virginia Tech
  • Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Hokies are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Hokies are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Hokies are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS win.
  • Hokies are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Hokies are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
  • Hokies are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games in September.
  • Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Hokies are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Hokies are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

OU TRENDS

East Carolina
  • Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 non-conference games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games in September.
  • Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. ACC.
  • Under is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 games overall.
  • Under is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 games on grass.
Virginia Tech
  • Over is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 8-1 in Hokies last 9 non-conference games.
  • Over is 7-1 in Hokies last 8 games in September.
  • Over is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 9-4 in Hokies last 13 home games.
  • Under is 29-14-1 in Hokies last 44 games following a straight up win.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Pirates are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
  • Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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Posted by on Sep 24 2016. Filed under College Football, Headlines. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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