Week 3 College Football Odds: Pittsburgh Panthers at (13) Penn State Nittany Lions

Pitt at (13) Penn State

Time: 11 AM CST, Saturday

Spread: PSU -17

Total: 54

Odds c/o 5dimes

Penn State has started it season 2-0 with easy wins over Idaho and Buffalo. Pittsburgh probably will not challenge it too closely either here in Week 3. PSU is 17-point favorites over Pitt in Week 3 play, with the over/under set at 54 points according to NCAA football oddsmakers at 5dimes. The Game will air at 11 AM CST Saturday on ABC.

PSU

Penn State really had no issues in knocking off the Buffalo Bulls last week. Sean Clifford was nearly flawless with his 16 of 22 marksmanship and he averaged 12.7 yards-per-reception while throwing four touchdowns (without any picks). Clifford also led the team in rushing yardage with 51 yards on his team-high 11 carries.

The rest of the PSU backfield gave him little help, amassing just 27 yards (though Noah Cain did rush his single carry 2-yards for a TD). Clifford did most of his passing damage with just three receivers. Jahan Dotson had four catches for 109 yards and two TDs, Pat Freiermuth had 99 yards on eight catches and a pair of TDs, as well. KJ Hamler rounded out the effort with three catches for 62 yards, including a 45-yard reception which was the second-longest behind Dotson’s 56-yard catch.

Clifford had 280 passing yards in Week 1 against Idaho, and Will Levis got some snaps in as backup due to the blowout nature of the game.

Lead Running back Devyn Ford had 107 rushing yards in Week 1, though he carried just once against Buffalo. He is listed active for week 3, and the Nittany Lions will need a 100-plus yard performance from him again with Clifford being the only other viable carrier thus far on the roster.

PITT

The Pittsburgh Panthers are 1-1 after rebounding from its week 1 loss to Virginia. Week 2 saw the Panthers defeat Ohio 20-10 as Kenny Pickett set a career-high with 321 passing yards, including a 74-yard look to Maurice Ffrench. Pickett there 26 of 37 with a touchdown, and no interceptions. AJ and Vincent Davis ran for 89 and 50 yards, respectively, though Vincent scored the only Pitt rushing TD. Pittsburgh averaged a respectable 4.3 yards-per-carry.

Meanwhile, it held Ohio to just 1.2 yards-per-rush and it limited Nathan Rourke to 177 yards passing while Ohio failed to score any receiving touchdowns. In fact, Ohio’s top back O’Shaan Allison actually did not fare too well, with just 3.4-yards-per -carry, so the Pitt rush defense could be even better than expected this year. Rourke lost 43 yards on his nine attempts and had only one decent one in the mix (a 5-yard rush, at that). If Pitt can apply that same defensive pressure against Penn State, this could be much closer than the 17-point spread, but a SU upset is, naturally, still rather unlikely.

ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):

Pittsburgh
  • Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Panthers are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
  • Panthers are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Panthers are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games in September.
  • Panthers are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games.
  • Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten.
Penn State
  • Nittany Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
  • Nittany Lions are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. ACC.
  • Nittany Lions are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Nittany Lions are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
  • Nittany Lions are 20-5-2 ATS in their last 27 games on grass.
  • Nittany Lions are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Nittany Lions are 26-10-2 ATS in their last 38 games overall.
  • Nittany Lions are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Nittany Lions are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 home games.
  • Nittany Lions are 37-18-2 ATS in their last 57 games following a straight up win.
  • Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

OU TRENDS (C/o Covers):

Pittsburgh
  • Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 non-conference games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games on grass.
  • Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-0 in Panthers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 11-1 in Panthers last 12 road games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 21-7-1 in Panthers last 29 games overall.
  • Over is 13-5-2 in Panthers last 20 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Panthers last 8 games in September.
  • Over is 5-2-2 in Panthers last 9 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Penn State
  • Over is 7-1 in Nittany Lions last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 12-2 in Nittany Lions last 14 non-conference games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Nittany Lions last 6 games in September.
  • Over is 8-2 in Nittany Lions last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 12-3 in Nittany Lions last 15 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 9-3 in Nittany Lions last 12 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 16-6 in Nittany Lions last 22 games overall.
  • Over is 20-8 in Nittany Lions last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
  • Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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