Week 3 CFB Picks ATS: Colorado Buffaloes at (4) Michigan Wolverines

Amara Darboh-michigan-2015Colorado-Michigan
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Spread: MIC -18
M/L: MIC -1100, COL +700
Total: 55

Betting odds c/o 5dimes

The Colorado Buffaloes won Weeks 1 and 2 by a combined score of 100-14 over Colorado State and Idaho State. Week 3 promises to bring a bit more of a challenge with Big Ten powerhouse Michigan hosting the Buffaloes for a 3:30 (ET) showdown.

College football oddsmakers at 5dimes set the line 18-points in favor of the Wolverines.

Colorado has put up no shortage of numbers in its two lopsided ‘Ws.’ Sefo Lirufau has thrown 38 of 51 (74.5 percent) for 522 yards and three TDs, while backup Steven Montez is 6 of 10 for 117 yards and two TDs. The Buffaloes have 653 passing yards on the season and 552 on the ground. Leading rushers Phillip Lindsay and Liufau have both rushed for over 120 yards with 47 of Colorado’s 113 carries split between them. Kyle Evans has also rushed 23 times for 93 yards and the Buffaloes have scored eight rushing TDs on the young season.

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Shay Fields, Devin Ross and Bryce Bobo have all caught better than 100 yards on the season and Ross has two of the Buffaloes’ five receiving TDs. There are eight receivers with at least two catches to their name, and Michigan’s secondary will represent the first real test for this group.

No. 4 ranked Michigan plowed through lowly AAC opponent UCF 51-14 in Week 2 and it defeated Hawaii 63-3 in Week 1. Last week, QB Wilton Speight threw 25 of 37 for 312 yards and four TDs, as Michigan amassed 328 passing yards on the game. The Wolverines picked up 119 rushing yards on 41 carries, managing just 2.9 yards per carry. De’Veon Smith led the team in yardage with 38 yards on 10 carries, but it was Khalid Hill who got the red zone touches, rushing for two TDs on his five attempts. Speight was ineffective in his two carries, losing 12 yards on that pair of attempts.

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Speight is 35 of 50 on the season for 457 yards and seven TDs with just one pick. His passer rating is 189.0 and he has three WRs who have all benefitted immensely. Amara Darboh, Jehu Chesson and Jake Butt have combined for 23 catches and 385 yards on the season, with six TDs between them (Darboh and Butt, 3). Darboh is a 6’2” 215 pound senior who caught for 727 yards on 58 catches last season, with five TDs on the year. He is going to eclipse that by mid-season if he continues to be the red zone target he has been for Speight.

Chris Evans has been the most effective rusher and most consistent. Evans has 147 yards on 17 carries for an 8.6 yard per attempt average, while Smith, Ty Isaac and Karan Higdon have all rushed for 12 times or more but none average more than five yards per. The Wolverines average 5.3 yards per rush as a team, and Michigan has six rushing TDs on the season.

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ATS TRENDS

Colorado
  • Buffaloes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Buffaloes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Buffaloes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
  • Buffaloes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
  • Buffaloes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Buffaloes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • Buffaloes are 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 road games.
  • Buffaloes are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games on fieldturf.
  • Buffaloes are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Buffaloes are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Buffaloes are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Buffaloes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Michigan
  • Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
  • Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
  • Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
  • Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Wolverines are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Wolverines are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Wolverines are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Wolverines are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. Pac-12.

OU TRENDS

Colorado
  • Under is 4-0 in Buffaloes last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0 in Buffaloes last 5 games on fieldturf.
  • Under is 5-1 in Buffaloes last 6 games overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in Buffaloes last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Buffaloes last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 7-2 in Buffaloes last 9 road games.
  • Over is 10-3 in Buffaloes last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Buffaloes last 7 non-conference games.
  • Over is 5-2 in Buffaloes last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Buffaloes last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Buffaloes last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Michigan
  • Over is 6-0 in Wolverines last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-0 in Wolverines last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 7-0 in Wolverines last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-0 in Wolverines last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Over is 6-0 in Wolverines last 6 home games.
  • Over is 9-0 in Wolverines last 9 games on fieldturf.
  • Under is 4-0 in Wolverines last 4 vs. Pac-12.
  • Over is 6-0 in Wolverines last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 4-0 in Wolverines last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-0 in Wolverines last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 10-1 in Wolverines last 11 games overall.
  • Over is 7-2 in Wolverines last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 9-3 in Wolverines last 12 games in September.
  • Under is 10-4 in Wolverines last 14 non-conference games.
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Posted by on Sep 17 2016. Filed under College Football, Headlines. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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