Week 2 NFL Picks, Predictions: Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

Carolina at Atlanta
Time: NOON (CT), FOX
Spread: ATL -7
Total: 44

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Atlanta Falcons lost 18-12 in Week 1 to the Philadelphia Eagles, and following that loss it will try to get back on track in its home-opener in Week 2, a clash against Carolina at Noon (CT) on FOX. Atlanta enters as 7-point favorites in the affair, with an over/under set at 44 points by NFL oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

Week 1 was difficult for Falcons QB Matt Ryan. He completed just 21 of 43 passes with no TDs thrown and an interception. Additionally, he was sacked four times for a total loss of 26 yards. The Falcons were equally unsuccessful with its ground game, mustering just 74 yards on 18 attempts, though garnering one TD via the rush at the hands of Tevin Coleman, who had just 19 yards on his nine attempts.

Superstar wide receiver Julio Jones had another monster game at WR, with 169 yards on 10 catches, but he was targeted 19 times and Ryan also committed one of two Falcons’ fumbles in the game, though his fumble was recovered. Philly was meanwhile getting the most of its mere 232 total yards, as Jay Ajayi rushed for two TDs in his 15 carries and that helped offset Foles’ zero TD passes.

The Carolina Panthers opened its season with a 16-8 victory over the Dallas Cowboys to start the 2018 season 1-0. Cam Newton threw 17 of 26 for 161 yards but failed to record a TD pass, and he was sacked three times for a loss of 15 yards. Newton also led the Panthers in rushing yards, though, with 58 yards on 13 carries and a TD. Alex Armah added the other rushing TD via a 1-yard carry, his only of the day.

Christian McCaffrey was mildly successful with 50 yards on 10 carries, though he also did not score a touchdown. The Panthers got another 45 receiving yards from McCaffrey, and Devin Funchess caught three passes for 41 yards, as well. Carolina averaged 9.5 yards per pass attempt, but it still did not score via the air.

Look for Newton to mix it up with more pass plays in Week 2 against the Falcons, as Carolina tries to milk more from its wide receiving core. Defensively, the Panthers did limit Dallas to 94 rushing yards, and Ezekiel Elliot was held to 69 yards on his 15 carries.

ATS TRENDS

Carolina
  • Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
  • Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
  • Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
  • Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2.
  • Panthers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC South.
  • Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Panthers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Atlanta
  • Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 2.
  • Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
  • Falcons are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Carolina
  • Over is 9-2 in Panthers last 11 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games in September.
  • Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 6-2 in Panthers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 6-2 in Panthers last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-3 in Panthers last 10 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 14-6-1 in Panthers last 21 games on grass.
Atlanta
  • Under is 8-0 in Falcons last 8 vs. NFC.
  • Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 vs. NFC South.
  • Under is 6-0 in Falcons last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 10-1 in Falcons last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 9-1 in Falcons last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 home games.
  • Under is 13-3 in Falcons last 16 games overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games in September.
  • Under is 21-7 in Falcons last 28 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 25-10-1 in Falcons last 36 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 34-16-2 in Falcons last 52 games on grass.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings.
  • Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Panthers are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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