Week 2 NFL Picks ATS: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

Week 4 NFL Betting Trend Report
Miami at NY Jets

Time: NOON (CT)
Spread: NYJ -2.5
Total: 42.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Miami Dolphins opened its season with a Week 1 victory at home against the Tennessee Titans. It enters week 2 as 2.5-point underdogs as it visits the New York Jets at Noon (CT) on CBS. The game features a 42.5 point over/under according to NFL oddsmakers at 5dimes.

The Dolphins managed to get a strong game from the inconsistent Ryan Tannehill at quarterback. The veteran threw 20 of 28 for completion while racking up 230 yards, but with his two TDs, he did throw two interceptions while also being sacked once in the game, so a 34.3 QB rating is hardly stellar, but a win is a win, for Dolphins fans. Frank Gore rushed for 61 of Miami’s 120 rushing yards, with Kenyan Drake adding another 48 yards (but requiring 14 attempts to do so, good for just 3.4 yards per carry). Tannehill’s top target was Kenny Stills, who caught four passes for 106 yards while scoring both of Miami’s receiving TDs.

Three others added 25-yards or more, and the Dolphins averaged 11.5 yards per pass attempt in the game. Most impressive, though, was Miami’s defense, particularly its defensive line and its secondary. The pressure was high the entire game, resulting in three interceptions, two coming from Marcus Mariota and another from Blaine Gabbert. Miami did not record a sack, but that was because of the rushed passes which resulted in the secondary picking off three of them. Reshad Jones had two of the three picks, with the other being picked off by Kiko Alonso. A similar strong defensive effort could be enough to help Miami upset the Jets this week, though it is “underdogs” by less than a field goal, so “upset” is a stretch in terms, needless to say, particularly against the Jets.

The Jets pulled off a Week 1 victory on the road at Detroit, handily defeating the Lions by a count of 48-17. Jets rookie QB Sam Darnold looked impressive in his debut, throwing 16 of 21 for completion while throwing two TD passes. He did launch an interception and was sacked twice (18 yards lost between the pair), but the Jets also got big rushing games from Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell.

Crowell rushed for 102 yards on just 10 carries, scoring two TDs and rushing a long one of 62-yards. Powell added another 60 yards on 12 carries, and New York pushed for 4.7 yards per rush attempt in the game. The defense really did its job, though. Detroit QB Matt Stafford threw four picks and Darron Lee picked off two of those, returning one for a touchdown. Matt Cassel also came in, to back up Stafford and launched an interception of his own. With both teams putting on such stellar defensive shows in Week 1, this game simply could be a matter of which team makes the fewest miscues on the offensive end of the football.

ATS TRENDS

Miami
  • Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Dolphins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 2.
  • Dolphins are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • Dolphins are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games on fieldturf.
  • Dolphins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Dolphins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC East.
  • Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Dolphins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
N.Y. Jets
  • Jets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
  • Jets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Jets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on fieldturf.
  • Jets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
  • Jets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 2.
  • Jets are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East.
  • Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
  • Jets are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
  • Jets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
  • Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
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