UFC on Fox 2 – Betting Preview Part I

College Football Sportsbook

MMA action will begin tonight at 5 PM on Fox 2

We’ll take a look here at the first few fights in a 10 fight card for tonight. Betting odds are taken from Bovada.lv

Chris Camozzi (-170) vs. Dustin Jacoby (+140)

Neither Camozzi nor Jacoby fought well in their last fight. Camozzi lost a decision and Jacoby was thoroughly dominated by Clifford Starks.

Camozzi has only fought four fights in the UFC, and two of those fights he lost. Camozzi is probably going to seek to take this one to the floor, but Jacoby is 6’4″ which is about as tall as you’ll find them in the 185 pound weight class. How is Camozzi going to get it to the floor when he has yet to land his first take down in a UFC fight? I’m nost sure. He’s likely going to be relegated to boxing, but Jacoby’s lack of experience may work to his advantage, regardless of where the fight goes. Jacoby has only been an MMA fighter for 15 months and is still developing, which will make it hard for him to win a fight like this, but it will still likely go down to decision. I’m going with the favored Camozzi, mainly due the experience factor. Still, neither fighter has much of a future at least as a contender.

Joey “Mexicutioner” Beltran (-225) vs. Lavar “Big” Johnson (+175)

Beltran is one of the more versatile fighters you’ll find in the 265 pound weight class. His technique is better than most heavyweights, and he is usually pretty exciting. Still, he is only an average fighter.

Fortunately for Beltran, his opponent is a sub par fighter, and he has a pretty big advantage. Johnson transferred from Strikeforce to UFC and he hasn’t been that good so far. His top wins came against Carl Seumanutafa and Dave Huckaba, but he lost to Shawn Jordan and Brian Olsen. Not the kind of start that screams contender, and Beltran should have a pretty easy time disposing of him, as indicated by the MMA oddsmakers. In Johnson’s favor, however, is the fact that 80% of his losses have come via submission and that isn’t Beltran’s specialty. Still, it is little consolation for Johnson because he is pretty outmatched here.

Shane Roller (-250) vs. Michael “The Menace” Johnson (+195)

Johnson started out his UFC career wby losing 2 of his first 3 fights. He had a nice start against Jonathan Brookins, but faded and lost by decision. He beat Edward Faalototo, but that says almost nothing about having any kind fo skill because Faalototo is pretty horrible. His submission loss to Paul Sass is pretty excusable, though.

Shane Roller also started his career out 1-2, and he lost a KO to Thiago Tavares and another quick KO to Melvin Guillaird. Roller really doesn’t have any specific strengths, but is still a decent fighter. His lack of specialization makes him unlikely to be a contender without putting in a lot more work, but when fighting a guy like Johnson who has only beaten the worst opponent in UFC, he shouldn’t have too much to worry about.

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Posted by on Jan 27 2012. Filed under Headlines, MMA. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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