UFC 134: Part Two Betting

Having looked at the main ticket, we’ll now take a look at some of the other matches of UFC 134.  The following five fights should all offer good value to bettors, with Palhares being one of the more heavily favored in these matches and a solid pick against Dan Miller.

Saturday, Aug 27, 2011
Rio de Janiero, Brazil

Ian “The Barn Owl” Loveland vs. Yves “Tiger” Jabouin

Loveland -215; Jabouin +165

Both Loveland and Jabouin used to be featherweights, but have moved up to bantam and will both make their debut in the new weight class against one another, fittingly enough.

“Tiger” Jabouin is a 32 year old Hatian who fights out of Montreal at the Tristar Gym.  He debuted in 2001 and spent seven years fighting in Canada’s circuit, where he went 14-4.  Two of the four losses came against Sam Stout and Johnathan Brookins, who both now fight UFC matches.  In 2009, he had a 4 fight win streak going in the WEC and he transitioned to UFC but lost UFC 129, his debut, in submission to Pablo Garza.

Ian “The Barn Owl” Loveland is a 27 year old from Oregon, USA and he remains in Oregon where he trains with Team Quest.  His debut was in 2005, and he has had mixed results since that point.  He won his first three career fights, but then proceeded to lose the next four.  In what has become typical fashion for Loveland, he responded by winning three more in a row, and then losing another four in a row after that.  He recorded six consecutive wins in various promotions before earning his berth in UFC fighting and then won again over Tyler Toner.  The streak was snapped, however, at UFC 128 when he faught Joseph Benavidez and loss in a unanimous decision.

Rousimar Palhares vs. Dan Miller

Palhares -315; Miller +245

Both Palhares and Miller sport impressive records, and Palhares will attempt to earn his way back into contention.

Palhares is a 31 year old Brazillian Jiu Jitsu black belt and is 12-3 over his career.  He fights for the Brazillian Top team and is a specialist in submissions.  He won 7 of his first 8 matches leading up to a 2007 submission victory, which clinched the Fury Fighting Championships title ofr Palhares.  In 2008, he made his debut in the UFC against Ivan Salverry, winning in submission.  At UFC Fight Night 22, he lost a quick TKO to Nate Marquardt, but came back to win in UFC on VS 3 against Dave Branch in March of 2011.

Dan Miller is a 30 year old former wrestler.  He is a submission specialist and looks to get his opponents to the mat as quickly as possibly, given his suspect boxing game.  He made his UFC debut in 2008 and proceeded to win his first three matches, but then he went on to drop his next three after that, losing to Chael Sonnen, Demian Maia, and Michael Bisping.  He then won two more matches before losing to Nate Marquardt at UFC 128 in March of 2011.

Paulo Thiago vs. David “Daudi” Mitchell

Thiago -450; Mitchell +325

The 170 pound weightclass has become one of the most competitive and both Thiago and Mitchell have thrived in it.  Thiago has won 13 of his 16 matches and Mitchell has won 12 of his 13.

Thiago is a 30 year old Brazillian Jiu Jitsu and Judo black belt, and he fights out of his home country for the Constrictor Jiu Jitsu team.  He debuted in July of ’05 and won his first ten fights, several in Brazillian promotional gigs.  He is a submission specialist.  He began his UFC career in 2009 and won his first three matches in the octagon.  He lost his contender status by losing two straight bouts to Martin Kampmann and Diego Sanchez.  He has been inactive for the last ten months and his last fight was the loss to Sanchez in UFC 121.

David Mitchell is a 31 year old Californian fighter who fights out of Northern California for the Fighting Alliance.  He debuted in 2006 and won his first ELEVEN matches over four years, including victories over War Machine, Tim McKenzie, Bobby Green, and Poppies Martinez.  At UFC Fight Night 22, he lost his first octagon match to TJ Waldburger.  Thiago is a heavy favorite and his record should attest to why for most bettors.  Expect a TKO by Thiago, possibly in the first round.

Thiago Tavares vs. Spencer “The King” Fisher

Tavares -210, Fisher +170

This 155 pound bout should be a good one.  Tavares is 15-4-1 and Fisher is 24-7.

Tavares is a 26 year old Brazillian fighter who fights for Brazillian Top Team.  He is a Brazillian Jiu Jitsu black belt and debuted in 2003.  He would go on to win his first ten bouts and wound up with his first crack at the UFC four years into his career.  He lost back to back bouts, but then proceeded to win three straight, before losing his lst at UFC on VS 3 in March, when he was knocked out by Shane Roller.

Fisher is a 35 year old North Carolina resident who fights out of Team Evolution.  He made his debut in 2002 and won 14 of his first 15 fights, while fighting in a regional league in Iowa.  His first fight in the octagon was in 2005, and he won is first two bouts in the UFC.  He split his next six meetings and then won three straight.  He hasn’t been good lately, however, and has lost 3 of hias last 4 bouts.  He lost a UFC 127 decision to Ross Pearson in February.  His UFC career is in jepardy with a loss tonight.

Luiz “Banha” Cane vs. Stanislav Nedkov

Cane -210; Nedkov +170

Luis Cane is a Brazillian striker who will look to build on the momentum of his last TKO win against the undefeated Bulgarian Stanislav Nedkov, who has won his first 11 matches.  This light-heavy weight division fight should be a good one.

Cane is a 30 year old Brazillian out of Sao Paulo, and he made his pro debut in 2005.  He won his first eight fights, and debuted in UFC in 2007.  He got disqualified at UFC 79 when he kneed James Irvin while downed.  He won his next three fights, however, defeating Jason Lambert and Steve Cantwell.  After his three fight win streak though, things fell apart, and he lost back to back bouts to Noguirea and Cyrille Diabate.  His first round TKO at UFC 128 kept him in the UFC, but he needs to win tonight, too, to keep himself in the big time.

Stanislav Nedkov is a 29 year old Bulgarian wrestler and jiu jitsu specialist.  He has appeared in Shooto, Pancrase, and Sengoku promos and his most notable wins came against Travis Wiuff and Kevin Randleman.  He won last May at BMMAF – Warriors 13 in a submission victory over Augustin Helgui.  He is going to have to be very careful to avoid a TKO to Cane, whose strong strikes will pose a constant threat to Nedkov.

Raphael Assuncao vs. Johnny Eduardo

Assuncao -175, Eduardo +145

The WEC vet Assuncao is 16-4 but has yet to win a UFC match, after dropping his debut.  He’ll look for his first victory against Promo newcomer Johnny Eduardo, who is 25-8.  The banterweight battle promises to be a good one…

Assuncao is a Brazillian who fights out of Atlanta for Ascension MMA.   He made his debut in 2004 and won 13 of his first 14 matches in small level organization fights in southern and midwestern US, but he did defeat big time opponents such as Jorge Masvidal and Joe Lauzon during the stretch.  He made his WEC debut in 2009, and won his first two bouts.  He lost to Urijah Fabers and Diego Nunes, but wrapped up his WEC career with a win against LC Davis at WEC 52.  His UFC debut was against Erik Koch at UFC 128, where he lost by KO.

Johynny Eduardo is a 33 year old Brazillian who has been fighting at a pro level for over a decade.  He lost his promo debut but went on to win his next eleven fights, and then proceeded to lose five of his next six.  He has been inconsistent, against mostly middle tier type opponents in small Brazillian promo events.  His 11 consecutive victories earned him a UFC berth, and he won in April at Shooto Brazil 22 in a submission victory over Jose Wilson.  The favored Assancao will likely look for a sumbission move against Eduardo, but as to which round the breakthrough comes in is anyone’s guess.

Yuri Alcantara vs. Felipe Arantes

Alcantara -500; Arantes +350

This featherweight bout features two very good fighters, but Alcantara will be hard to beat.  The veteran is 24-3 and is a Brazillian Jiu Jitsu who fights out of the Pattaya Team.  He made his pro debut in 2004 and went on to win 23 of his first 26 fights over six years and then went on into the WEC.  He came out in WEC 53 and knocked out Ricardo Lamas.

Arantes is from Brazil and fights for Macao Gold.  he made his debut in 2008 and won 6 of his first 10 matches.  It was a decent start for his career, and he won his last nine bouts.  He has fought mostly in Brazili but has appeared in a few small level promos in the States, including UCC 4 where he had a no contest fight against TUF fighter Andy Main.

Some experts are actually favoring the underdog Arantes, so this could be a sneaky value bet.  Arantes has an ability to avoid submission and stay standing fo a long time, and could win a decision bout.

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