The state of Massachusetts will host its first-ever UFC Pay-Per-View event this Saturday when the TD Garden hosts UFC 118. The live event from Boston begins at 10:00 PM ET with 4 fights on the Pay-Per-View undercard.
Nate Diaz (12-5) vs. Marcus “The Irish Hand Grenade” Davis (17-6)
After winning all five of his fights in ’07-’08, Diaz has gone 2-3 since January of 2009. Davis has gone 3-2 in his last five fights, including a knockout loss, and will be looking to reclaim the success that saw him win 11 straight fights between ’06-’08. Diaz looks like the better fighter going into this fight, and he should dictate the outcome. The fight should be a close one, but Diaz should win a 3-round decision. Bodog has Diaz at -200 and Davis at +160, while Bookmaker has Diaz at -205 and Davis at +165. The most solid option for this fight is the length of the fight. Bodog has it at +135 to go the full three rounds, and at -175 to finish early.
Kenny “Ken Flo” Florian (14-4) vs. Gray “The Bull” Maynard (9-0, 1 no contest)
This fight has added intrigue as the winner will become the #1 contender for the UFC Lightweight title. Florian has gone 4-1 in his last five fights, with his only loss to B.J. Penn. Florian in an interesting fighter as he has consistently maintained his status as one of the top-level fighters, yet has never been able to take that one final step and win a belt. Maynard, on the other hand, will be looking for his first shot at a title. Bodog has Florian at -160 and Maynard at +130, while Bookmaker has Florian at -165 and Maynard at +135. Despite being the underdog, Maynard has a real shot at the upset. Saturday night could see him stake his claim as a legitimate contender at lightweight. Betters should look for the upset here. Bodog also has several options for the length of the fight. The best options here are the fight going the distance at -200, and Maynard winning by 3-round decision at +210.
Demian Maia (12-2) vs. Mario Miranda (12-1)
This should be a very entertaining fight as both fighters have finished most of their fights early by either KO or submission. Maia’s last fight was a championship match against Anderson Silva, which he lost via decision. He will be looking to rebound and re-enter the conversation as a contender for the championship. Miranda, a relative newcomer to the UFC, will be in only his third UFC fight. After going 1-1 in his first two UFC fights, he is still looking to establish himself as a legitimate contender in the UFC. Bodog has Maia favored at -265, with Miranda at +205. Bookmaker has Maia at -220 and Miranda at +180. The fight should be an entertaining one, with Maia coming out victorious. Both fighters have a tendency to end their fights early, so a quick match is a real possibility. Bodog has the fight going less that one full round at +170.
Randy “The Natural” Couture (18-10) vs. James “Lights Out” Toney (0-0)
The oddly intriguing fourth fight of the night will be between a UFC veteran and a former boxing heavyweight champion who will be making both is UFC and MMA debut. Couture, a UFC legend, is a huge favorite in this one, and with good reason. After a career of fighting the best fighters in the sports, he will be taking on a fighter who has absolutely no MMA experience. Toney, having only begun his MMA training this past January, will be going into the cage against someone who is still one of the top fighters in the world. Bodog has this one at Couture -575 and Toney at +350. Bookmaker has Couture an even bigger favorite at -625, with Toney at +425. While Toney offers great value in this one, it seems and extremely long shot that he will be able to accomplish anything in his first MMA fight against Couture. The best options are on the length of the fight. Bodog has the fight going one full round at +250, and the fight not going one round at -325. The fight will probably go the ground quickly, as Couture will not give Toney the one chance he has by standing and boxing with him. When the fight goes to the ground, it is possible that Toney could simply hold on for an entire round. If this case, one round at +250 offers good value.
Stay tuned for our fight preview of BJ Penn and Frankie Edgar in the next 30 minutes or so.