Thursday Night NBA Picks: Golden State Warriors at L.A. Clippers

Klay Thompson-warriors-2013Golden State Warriors at LA Clippers
Time: 10:35 PM ET, Oct 31, 2013
Line: LAC -6.5
M/L: LAC -270; GSW +230
O/U: 205

Betting Odds courtesy of 5dimes

Golden State destroyed the L.A. Lakers 125-94 Wednesday night and now the team will face the 0-1 Clippers, who suffered a loss to that same Lakers squad the night prior on Tuesday. NBA oddsmakers at 5dimes still set the line 6.5 points in favor of the home team Clippers.

Blake Griffin shot 8-of-15 from the floor in the loss, but as Reggie Miller of TNT noted, Griffin still has no post game. The Clippers are woefully reliant on Chris Paul generating offense and Griffin needs to expand his skill set and evolve if the team is going to contend in the West against the multiple superstar teams like OKC and Houston.

DeAndre Jordan is efficient around the basket as always, and hit 8-of-10 (mostly dunks). The Clippers have an answer in the second unit for buckets with Jamal Crawford, and Darren Collison is one of the better backup point guards in the league.

The Warriors have one of the league’s best backcourts in Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. It was Thompson, the third-year guard, who lit up the Lakers for 38 points, while Curry contributed 24. David Lee and Andre Iguodala are nice fits alongside the sharpshooters and the Warriors are gunning for home court advantage in the first round this season. The low-cost acquisitions of Marreese Speights and Jermaine O’Neal could pay off, too, with several Western Conference teams featuring tough front lines.

Golden State is without second-year players Harrison Barnes and Festus Ezeli.

Key Matchup:

Blake Griffin vs. David Lee

Both Griffin and Lee were All-Stars last season, but Lee is a superior player to Griffin in all ways except excitement factor. Lee is a good passer in the high post and has a nice jumpshot, and Griffin is turnover prone with a broken jumper. This is a chance for Lee and the Warriors to make a statement that Lob City is not all it’s been hyped up to be. Golden State has a great unit for running, and with the offensive options that surround Lee he is able to rack up the assists. Lee had five in the win over L.A.

Betting Trends:

GS: UNDER 4-0 in last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in previous game; Warriors 8-1 ATS in last 9 when opponent allows 100 points or more in previous game; Warriors 7-1 ATS in last 8 after scoring 100 points or more previous game.

LAC: 0-5 ATS in last 5 vs teams with winning SU records; OVER 6-0 in last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in previous game; Clippers 0-5 ATS in last 5 vs teams with winning percentages above .600

Head-to-head: OVER 5-0 in last 5 meetings; Warriors 6-1 ATS in last 7 meetings; Warriors 4-1 ATS in last 5 in LA.

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