Thursday MLB Betting Preview – Giants at Brewers

The Brewers offense must show up in order to avoid being swept at home by the Giants.

San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers

San Francisco has won the first three games of the series and has scored six or more runs in three consecutive games for just the second time this season.  Offensively, the team got it started early with three first-inning home runs in Wednesday night’s 15-2 blowout, marking the first time that has happened since August 22, 1999.  “We’re not a team that has many games like this,” manager Bruce Bochy said.  The Giants have posted their best record against NL Central opponents this season, going 18-7 in 25 games.  San Francisco stands at 4-3 on its current road trip and has scored 47 runs in those games.

Giants starting pitcher Barry Zito is 7-4 with a 3.75 ERA in 17 starts this season (+390), with his last victory coming on June 12 against the Oakland Athletics.  Over this winless span, the left-hander has allowed 16 earned runs and 16 hits over 23.1 innings of work.  He looks to even up his road record, going 2-3 with a 4.86 ERA in eight starts away from AT&T Park (+130).  In six previous starts versus the Brewers, he has tallied a losing 1-3 mark and 6.19 ERA, surrendering seven home runs in just 32 innings. 

Milwaukee has been outscored by a 34-5 margin during its current four-game losing streak and look to avoid being swept at home in four-game series for the first time since July 2008.  The Brewers find themselves a season-worst 11.5 games out of first place in the divisional race.  “We didn’t close games out early in the year and now we can’t get into the position to have a chance to do that,” manager Ken Macha stated.  The team has recently tried to create a spark in the lineup, flipping star outfielder Ryan Braun and first baseman Prince Fielder.  Braun has yet to make any noise being mired in a 0-for-16 slump.  It may prove difficult to stop the slide with the team posting a 1-5 mark after allowing 10 or more runs this season (-460).

Brewers starting pitcher Manny Parra is 3-5 with a 4.45 ERA in 25 appearances (eight starts) in 2010 (+80), with the team alternating wins and losses in his last four outings.  He is 1-3 with a 4.36 ERA in 11 home games (four starts) this year (-80), but is 12-10 lifetime in 46 appearances (32 starts) at Miller Park.  Para has tossed just 16.1 innings during the day this season, going 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA and not allowing a home run in 10 outings.  He gets set to make his seven career appearance (fourth start) against today’s opponent, producing a winning 2-1 mark and 4.37 ERA.

Bettors will have a hard time backing the Giants with an 11-12 record versus left-handed starters (-380) in 2010 and 51-64 the last three years (-1,400).  San Francisco is also just 3-6 after three or more consecutive wins.  The total is playable when considering the Brewers are 5-1 O/U after allowing 10+ runs in a game.

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