Texas Longhorns vs. Kansas Jayhawks: College Football Week 9 Picks Against the Spread

No. 23 Texas Longhorns at Kansas Jayhawks
Saturday, 10/27/12, 12:00 PM EST, TV:  N/A
Opening Point Spread:  Texas -21
Current Betting Line:  Texas -21
Opening Total:  61
Current Total:  59
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Texas Longhorns have gone OVER the total in five consecutive games

Texas earned a 56-50 victory over the Baylor Bears last week in the highest scoring game in school history, while going OVER the total for the fifth consecutive week.  The Longhorns rank sixth in the nation in scoring, averaging 44.4 points per game, as they’ve managed to convert 55.3 percent of their third-down attempts.  The program will be playing Saturday’s opponent for the 12th time, posting a 9-2 mark in the previous two meetings, including a nine-game win streak by an average 32.1 points.  Texas is 3-2 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points, with the UNDER going 4-1 in that situation.

The Longhorns will need to force a few miscues in order to cover this number, as they ranked tied for 18th nationally with a plus-one per game turnover margin.  Texas has outscored its opponents by a 77-10 margin this season off turnovers.  Four of the team’s last five opponents had an offense ranked among the top 10 nationally in either scoring or total offense.

Kansas has suffered six consecutive losses since a season-opening victory against South Dakota State, as the offense has failed to score over 24 points during the losing streak.  The Jayhawks were handed a 52-7 setback by the Oklahoma Sooners as 34.5-point road underdogs last week, with the OVER cashing for the second time in three weeks in that affair.  Kansas is 2-5 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points, with the UNDER going 5-2 in that situation.

The Jayhawks are 89th in total offense and 85th in total defense, which doesn’t offer much to be enthusiastic about in this matchup.  Kansas isn’t the type of team that can spread out an opponent, which has posed a problem to Texas in recent weeks.  Running back James Sims will need to be dynamic in hopes of pulling off an upset, as he’s gone over the century mark in rushing in three straight games.  His eight 100-yard performances moves him into a tie for seventh all-time at the school in that particular category.

Sports bettors will likely play the total, as the UNDER is 5-2 in the Jayhawks’ last seven games versus a team with a winning record.

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