SEC Showdown Week 7 College Football: Kentucky Wildcats at Arkansas Razorbacks

Tyler Wilson has been brilliant for the Razorbacks who enter this week’s home matchup against Kentucky as 18.5 point favorites.

Time: 7 PM EST, Saturday
Spread: ARK -18.5
M/L: ARK -900, KEN +650

Odds from Bookmaker

No rest for the weary. Kentucky has continued to get pounded by ranked opponents, and this week is one week off from a ranked opponent before facing No. 14 Georgia next week. College football oddsmakers don’t think it will provide enough respite for the Wildcats, though, setting the line 18.5 points in favor of their opponent, the Arkansas Razorbacks.

It’s easy to see why. The Kentucky offense hasn’t been producing, and they rank near the bottom of the nation in passing yards (78th, 215.5 per game) and rushing yards (106th, 112.5 per game). The Wildcats average just 20.5 per game, which wouldn’t be as bad if they weren’t giving up 30.2, which again, ranks near the bottom of the nation. Last week’s 13 point loss to Mississippi State was the closest they’d been, after being shut out by the Florida Gators on September 22nd and losing by three touchdowns to then No.6 South Carolina two weeks ago.

Their lone win of the year came against Kent State, but they may not win again until November 17th when they face Samford. The SEC has dealt a tough hand to the Wildcats, and UK fans are losing patience. They won’t have to suffer through a home loss this week, but will resume the horror next week against the Bulldogs.

Arkansas scored a big victory against Auburn last week, winning 24-7 on Tigers’ home field. The Razorbacks defense was impressive, forcing five turnovers and sacking QB Clint Moseley eight times. Offensively, Tyler Wilson was brilliant, connecting on 20 of 27 passes for 216 yards. He’s been good all season, and the Razorbacks average 299 yards per game, good for 24th in the nation. Wilson’s QB rating is down slightly from last year to 145.7 this year, but he has been 177.8 rated at home, and against a poor Wildcats defense, that could mean a big week for the 6’3″ senior from Greenwood.

Kentucky Betting Trends:

Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs teams with losing home records, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 in OCT< 2-9 ATS in their last 11 on the road, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 overall.

Arkansas Betting Trends:

Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs teams with losing records, 20-6 ATS in their last 26 at home, 19-8 ATS in their last 27 following an ATS win, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 overall.

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Posted by on Oct 12 2012. Filed under College Football, Headlines. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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