SEC Football on ESPN: (1) Alabama Crimson Tide at Ole Miss Runnin’ Rebels

Alabama at Mississippi
Time: 6 PM CT (Sat)
Spread: ALA -21
Total: 71

Odds c/o 5dimes

No. 1 ranked Alabama won its first two weeks by a collective score of 108 to 21, knocking off Louisville 51-14 and Arkansas State 57-7 last week. This week the Crimson Tide travel to face Mississippi at 6 PM CT on ESPN, with Alabama heading into the game as 21-point favorites with an over/under set at 71 points according to NCAA Football oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

Bama thus far has got great production from its top two quarterbacks. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown 25 of 35 for 455 yards with six TDs, and Jalen Hurts is 12 of 18 for 163 yards with two TDs. Hurts has rushed for another 41 yards on eight attempts, as well. Najee Harris has 165 yards on 21 carries this season with a long-rush of 26-yards and two TDs. Damien Harris is the No. 2 back with 116 yards on 19 carries, including a long rush of 32-yards.

Josh Jacobs has rushed 11 times for 5.4 yards-per-carry and a TD. Alabama averages 5.8 yards per rushing attempt, a testament to not only the speed in its backfield but also the top-notch protection afforded by a massive and powerful OL. DeVonta Smith has caught seven passes for 176 yards this season, and Jerry Juedy is No. 2 in receiving yards with 151 and a team-leading four touchdowns. Kicker Austin Jones has missed three extra points already, but field goal kicker Joseph Bulovas is 5 of 5 with a long-kick of 39 yards. Jones has missed 1 of his 2 field goal attempts, already too.

Mississippi is 2-0 after defeating Texas Texas 47-27 in Week 1 and Southern Illinois 76-41 in Week 2. The Week 2 game was a thriller, with 117 total points scored in the affair, highlighted by 448 passing yards and five touchdowns from Ole Miss QB Jordan Ta’amu. Scottie Phillips rushed for 107 yards on 15 carries with two TDs, and Isaiah Woullard and backup quarterback Matt Corral each rushed for a touchdown apiece as well.

WR AJ Brown had 158 receiving yards and two TDs, and four receivers totaled 50 yards or more. Defensively, Mohamed Sanago had a huge game with 11 total tackles and seven solo, while Josiah Coatney, Zedrick Woods, Ryder Anderson, Vernon Dashler, and Willie Hibbler all had five tackles apiece. Ole Miss can really move the football, and having a talented rush threat like Phillips and his backup Tylan Knight, should give the Rebels a better overall offensive outlook in 2018.

ATS TRENDS:

Alabama
  • Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
  • Crimson Tide are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
  • Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Crimson Tide are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Mississippi
  • Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Rebels are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Rebels are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Rebels are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 conference games.
  • Rebels are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Rebels are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Rebels are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
  • Rebels are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Rebels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

OU TRENDS:

Alabama
  • Over is 5-0 in Crimson Tide last 5 games in September.
  • Under is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 9-3 in Crimson Tide last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 21-10 in Crimson Tide last 31 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Mississippi
  • Over is 11-1 in Rebels last 12 home games.
  • Over is 6-1 in Rebels last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-1 in Rebels last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-1 in Rebels last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Rebels last 6 games in September.
  • Over is 10-2 in Rebels last 12 games on grass.
  • Over is 4-1 in Rebels last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 8-2 in Rebels last 10 conference games.
  • Under is 11-3 in Rebels last 14 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 9-3 in Rebels last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 18-7-1 in Rebels last 26 games overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in Rebels last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 5-2 in Rebels last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 15-7 in Rebels last 22 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Underdog is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
  • Crimson Tide are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
  • Crimson Tide are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Mississippi.
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