SEC Betting Picks: Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores
Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores
Tuesday, January 15, 2013, 9:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPNU
Memorial Gym – Nashville, Tennessee
Opening Line: Ole Miss -9
Current Line: Ole Miss -8 1/2
Opening Total: 125 1/2
Current Total: 126 1/2
Opening Money Line: Ole Miss – 500 / Vanderbilt +400
Current Money Line: Ole Miss -450 / Vanderbilt +350
The 13-2 Mississippi Rebels travel to the 6-8 Vanderbilt Commodores Tuesday night. The Rebels are 2-0 in the SEC and part of a five way tie for first in the conference. Vanderbilt is 0-2 in conference.Vanderbilt leads the series 74-39 including 47-5 in Nashville. Vanderbilt has beaten Ole Miss 5 straight times including both meetings last year in Oxford and in the SEC tournament semifinals.
Ole Miss is coached by Andy Kennedy. The Rebels have losses Middle Tennessee and Indiana St in a tournament in Hawaii. Both losses were a total of 5 points. Ole Miss has won 5 straight games. The Rebels have key wins over Rutgers, Loyola Marymount, San Francisco, Hawaii, Fordham, at Tennessee, and Saturday at home against Missouri 64-49. Ole Miss is 7-3 ATS this season and the total is 5-2-1 this season.
Vanderbilt is coached by Kevin Stallings. The Commodores have losses at Oregon and Arkansas Saturday 56-33, to Davidson and Marist in a tournament in Orlando, and at home to Villanova, Middle Tennessee, Butler and Kentucky. Vanderbilt has key wins over UTEP, Xavier, Cornell and William & Mary. The Commodores have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Vanderbilt is 6-6 ATS and the total is 1-9 this season.
Ole Miss is outscoring teams 82-64 this season. The Rebels are #7 in scoring nationally. Ole Miss is shooting 44.5% from the field and 31.7% from 3 point range. The Rebels make 70.3% from the free throw line. Mississippi is #13 in rebounding averaging 41.3 rebounds per game, and give up 32.3 per game. Rebel opponents are shooting 38.2% from the field and 26% from 3 point range. The Rebels are #30 in opponent’s field goal percentage, and #4 in three point defense. Ole Miss averages 13 assists, 10 steals, 6 blocks, and 12 turnovers per game.
Guard Marshall Henderson averages 18.6 points, 3.3 rebounds, 1.7 assists, and 1.4 steals. Forward Murphy Holloway averages 16.1 points, 10.8 rebounds, 1.8 steals, and 1.4 assists per game. Guard Nick Williams averages 10.3 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 1.7 assists. Forward Reginald Buckner averages 10.1 points, 7.8 rebounds, 2.8 blocks, and 1.5 steals per game. Guard Jarvis Summers averages 8 points, 3.5 assists, 1.3 rebounds, and 1.2 steals per game. Guard Derrick Millinghaus averages 7.3 points per game. Aaron Jones and Ladarius White will also get significant minutes. Center Demarco Cox is questionable with an ankle injury.
Vanderbilt is being outscored 59-58 this season. The Commodores are #335 out of 347 teams in scoring, and #42 in points allowed. Vanderbilt is shooting 40.2% from the field and 33.4% from 3 point range. The Commodores are third to last in free throw shooting making a dreadful 58.1% from the line. Vanderbilt is averaging 32.8 rebounds per game, and they give up 31.1 to opponents. Commodore opponents are shooting 41.6% from the field and 29.5% from 3 point range. Vanderbilt averages 11 assists, 6 steals, 3 blocks, and 14 turnovers per game.
Guard Kedren Johnson averages 15.7 points, 3.6 rebounds, 2.9 assists, and 1.6 steals per game. He is questionable with a shoulder injury. Guard Kyle Fuller averages 11 points, 2.7 rebounds, 2.3 assists, and 1.1 steal per game. Junior forward Rod Odom averages 9.4 points and 4.1 rebounds a game. Forward Kevin Bright averages 5.9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists. Josh Henderson, Sheldon Jeter, Shelby Moats, Dai-Jon Parker, and James Siakam make up the rest of the rotation.The Commodores are very young with 11 freshmen and sophomores on the roster.
Ole Miss is 4-0 ATS after a straight up win, after a cover, and overall, and 7-1 against SEC teams. The favorite is 10-3 ATS in this series recently.
Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS against SEC teams, 7-2 after a cover, 16-5 in Tuesday games, 5-2 overall, 7-3 in home games, 1-5 at home against teams with winning road records, and 0-5 after a straight up loss of 20 points or more. The Commodores are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 against the Rebels and 5-2 in Nashville against Ole Miss.
Vanderbilt struggles to score to say the least. It could get even worse if Johnson can’t play. In their last game the Commodores scored only 33 points against Arkansas, on 10/40 shooting. Eleven of their 33 points came at the free throw line. Ole Miss is one 0f the highest scoring teams in the country. I think the Rebels roll in this game.
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