San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, 9/30/12, 1:00 PM EST, TV: CBS
Opening Point Spread: San Diego -1.5
Current Betting Line: San Diego -1
Opening Total: 46
Current Total: 44.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
San Diego suffered its first loss of the year in a 27-3 setback to the Atlanta Falcons as three-point home favorites, as it was out-gained by 104 yards. “Kansas City is not going to feel sorry for us,” commented Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers in regards to the defeat. “And we can’t feel sorry for ourselves.” The team has gone 19-20 in September and October during the Norv Turner era, while going 32-12 in November and beyond. San Diego is 18-10 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite, with the “over” cashing in three of the last four opportunities.
The Chargers will be looking to move their record to 2-0 in the AFC West division, as they captured a season-opening win over the Oakland Raiders a couple weeks ago. Running back Ryan Mathews rushed for 44 yards on 10 carries and caught five passes for 32 yards in his first action since returning from a fractured clavicle. Defensively, the team ranks ninth in the league in total defense, which is a key statistic when going against the top offense in the league in terms of yards gained.
Kansas City erased an 18-point deficit to come away with a surprising 27-24 overtime win over the New Orleans Saints as nine-point road underdogs last week, as it out-gained one of the league’s top offenses by a significant 510-to-288 margin. Chiefs running back Jamaal Charles was the star of the show, gaining 233 yards on 33 carries, while the defense held the Saints scoreless in the final 29 minutes of the game. Kansas City is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog over the last two-plus seasons, with the “under” going 6-2 in that situation.
The Chiefs have absolutely dominated opponents in terms of time-of-possession, coming into this week with a 33:27-to-26:33 edge in that category. Kansas City has outscored opponents by a 35-6 margin in the fourth quarter. Total players need to take a long look at the UNDER in this contest, as the last four meetings in this series has fallen short of the number.
Sports bettors will likely play the UNDER due to the Chiefs falling short of the total in 10 of their last 12 divisional contests.
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