Pro Basketball Odds and Predictions: Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies
Saturday, 12/29/12, 8:00 PM EST, TV:  SPSO
Opening Point Spread:  Memphis -6.5
Current Betting Line:  Memphis -7
Opening Total:  194
Current Total:  194
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Memphis Grizzlies haven’t scored 100 or more points in their last 10 games

Denver has won back-to-back games, including a 106-85 victory over the Dallas Mavericks as three-point road favorites last night, while going UNDER the total for the first time in three contests.  “When we make shots, I think we’re pretty good,” stated Nuggets head coach George Karl.  The Nuggets are shooting 35.9 percent from 3-point range in their wins, while settling for just 30.5 percent in their losses.  The franchise has won both meetings in this series during the 2012-13 NBA campaign, including a 97-92 win as seven-point road underdogs on Nov. 19, while both went UNDER the total.

The Nuggets are 8-13 when playing away from the Pepsi Center, which includes a losing 6-8 mark versus Western Conference rivals.  Denver has four probable starters averaging in double figures, with forward Danilo Gallinari leading the way, scoring 16.2 points per game.  He’s coming off a career-high 39-point performance last time out.  Defensively, it’s all about holding opponents to under 100 points, as the squad has compiled a 13-2 record in that situation.

Memphis has been held below the century mark in scoring in its last 10 games, as it aims to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 99-89 setback to the Philadelphia 76ers as nine-point home favorites.  “We just had no energy,” stated Grizzlies power forward Zach Randolph.  “It’s a combination of them playing well and taking advantage of us.”  The Grizzlies are still 18-8 on the year, which happens to be the best start in franchise history.  Memphis is 14-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 2010, which is important to consider when making your NBA picks against the spread Saturday.

The Grizzlies have won 23 of their last 26 games at FedExForum, as they have been getting things done on the defensive end the entire year, ranking second in the league in allowing 90.8 points per game.  Memphis has forced at least 10 turnovers in 130 consecutive games—the longest active streak of its kind.  The team has won all nine of its games when scoring 100 or more points this season.

Sports bettors will likely back the Nuggets due to their 9-1 ATS mark on zero days rest, while the Grizzlies are 3-7-2 ATS when playing on two days rest.

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